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Economics

More white-collar layoffs in 20​26 than in 2025?

Yes51¢51%
No49¢49%
$123,208.14 Vol.

Event estimated to resolve on . These probabilities are based on what other investors recently paid for Yes and No positions.

About

If the total number of layoffs and discharges in the Professional and Business Services sector during calendar year 2026 is greater than 5,497,000, then the market resolves to Yes. This market will use FRED series JTU540099LDL, “Layoffs and Discharges: Total Nonfarm: Professional and Business Services, Level in Thousands, Monthly, Not Seasonally Adjusted."

  • Full contract termsView
  • SourceFRED
  • Est. resolution date
  • Total event volume$123,208.14
  • Timeline

    The market will close and expire early if the event occurs. Otherwise, it closes by .

    1. Event open
    2. Event closed
    3. Projected payout
  • Insider trading is prohibited

    The following are prohibited from trading this contract:

    • Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
    • Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.

Trade Yes and No contracts

  • Yes
    Volume$123,208.14
    Price50¢
    +2.00% today
  • No
    Volume$123,208.14
    Price51¢
    -2.00% today

FAQ

Frequently asked questions

Public shows live market-implied probabilities, contract prices, and trading volume for More white-collar layoffs in 20​26 than in 2025?. The outcome is Yes, with an estimated probability of 51% and a Yes contract price of $0.50. Odds can change as traders buy and sell event contracts.

On Public, you can buy and sell event contracts for More white-collar layoffs in 20​26 than in 2025? by choosing from the available outcomes. Compare live odds, probabilities, prices, and trading volume before making a trade. You can manage prediction markets alongside stocks, options, bonds, and crypto on Public.

Each event contract represents an outcome for More white-collar layoffs in 20​26 than in 2025?. On Public, you can take a Yes or No position based on whether you think that outcome will occur. Contract prices reflect market-implied probabilities and can change as the market trades.

The estimated resolution date for More white-collar layoffs in 20​26 than in 2025? is Mar 1, 2027. The prediction market will resolve according to its contract terms using FRED as the designated source. See the full contract terms on Public for the specific resolution criteria.

Yes. Public's AI Agents let you automate prediction market strategies using rules you define in plain English. Create an Agent to monitor the odds for More white-collar layoffs in 20​26 than in 2025? and take supported actions when your conditions are met. Since prediction markets trade 24/7, your Agent can monitor opportunities around the clock. You can also connect Public to your preferred AI model through MCP, including ChatGPT, Claude, Perplexity, Grok, and Muse.

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  3. 3

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  4. 4

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Live odds on More white-collar layoffs in 20​26 than in 2025?

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More white-collar layoffs in 20​26 than in 2025?

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Event estimated to resolve on at 10:00AM. These probabilities are based on what other investors recently paid for Yes and No positions.


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