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Economics

US crude oil inventories for the week ending October 23, 2026

Above 414 million barrels33¢33%
Above 415 million barrels26¢26%
Above 416 million barrels21¢21%
$18 Vol.

Event estimated to resolve on . These probabilities are based on what other investors recently paid for Yes and No positions.

About

If U.S. commercial crude oil inventories for the week ending Oct 23, 2026 are strictly above 414 million barrels, then the market resolves to Yes. The Underlying is the U.S. Commercial Crude Oil (Excl. Lease Stock) inventory level reported by the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) for the week ending Oct 23, 2026. This measure excludes crude oil held in the Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR). EIA reports the statistic in thousand barrels. Values stated in millions of barrels will be converted directly from the EIA-reported value. The market will use the first EIA publication for the specified week. Subsequent revisions will not affect resolution.

  • Full contract termsView
  • SourceFederal Reserve Bank of New York
  • Est. resolution date
  • Total event volume$18.00
  • Timeline

    The market will close and expire early if the event occurs. Otherwise, it closes by .

    1. Event open
    2. Event closed
    3. Projected payout
  • Insider trading is prohibited

    The following are prohibited from trading this contract:

    • Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
    • Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.

Trade Yes contracts

  • Above 414 million barrels
    Volume$6.00
    Price35¢
    -13.16% today
  • Above 415 million barrels
    Volume$6.00
    Price29¢
    -7.14% today
  • Above 416 million barrels
    Volume$6.00
    Price25¢
    -4.55% today
  • Above 406 million barrels
    Volume$0.00
    Price92¢
    -100.00% today
  • Above 407 million barrels
    Volume$0.00
    Price89¢
    -100.00% today
  • Above 408 million barrels
    Volume$0.00
    Price83¢
    -100.00% today
  • Above 409 million barrels
    Volume$0.00
    Price77¢
    -100.00% today
  • Above 410 million barrels
    Volume$0.00
    Price72¢
    -100.00% today
  • Above 411 million barrels
    Volume$0.00
    Price59¢
    -100.00% today
  • Above 412 million barrels
    Volume$0.00
    Price56¢
    -100.00% today

Trade No contracts

  • Above 414 million barrels
    Volume$6.00
    Price83¢
    +8.06% today
  • Above 415 million barrels
    Volume$6.00
    Price89¢
    +2.78% today
  • Above 416 million barrels
    Volume$6.00
    Price83¢
    +1.28% today
  • Above 406 million barrels
    Volume$0.00
    Price14¢
    +809.09% today
  • Above 407 million barrels
    Volume$0.00
    Price14¢
    +733.33% today
  • Above 408 million barrels
    Volume$0.00
    Price24¢
    +400.00% today
  • Above 409 million barrels
    Volume$0.00
    Price29¢
    +316.67% today
  • Above 410 million barrels
    Volume$0.00
    Price34¢
    +212.50% today
  • Above 411 million barrels
    Volume$0.00
    Price44¢
    +163.16% today
  • Above 412 million barrels
    Volume$0.00
    Price48¢
    +100.00% today

FAQ

Frequently asked questions

Public shows live market-implied probabilities, contract prices, and trading volume for US crude oil inventories for the week ending October 23, 2026. The leading outcome is Above 414 million barrels, with an estimated probability of 33% and a Yes contract price of $0.35. Odds can change as traders buy and sell event contracts.

On Public, you can buy and sell event contracts for US crude oil inventories for the week ending October 23, 2026 by choosing from the available outcomes. Compare live odds, probabilities, prices, and trading volume before making a trade. You can manage prediction markets alongside stocks, options, bonds, and crypto on Public.

Each event contract represents an outcome for US crude oil inventories for the week ending October 23, 2026. On Public, you can take a Yes or No position based on whether you think that outcome will occur. Contract prices reflect market-implied probabilities and can change as the market trades.

The estimated resolution date for US crude oil inventories for the week ending October 23, 2026 is Oct 28, 2026. The prediction market will resolve according to its contract terms using Federal Reserve Bank of New York as the designated source. See the full contract terms on Public for the specific resolution criteria.

Yes. Public's AI Agents let you automate prediction market strategies using rules you define in plain English. Create an Agent to monitor the odds for US crude oil inventories for the week ending October 23, 2026 and take supported actions when your conditions are met. Since prediction markets trade 24/7, your Agent can monitor opportunities around the clock. You can also connect Public to your preferred AI model through MCP, including ChatGPT, Claude, Perplexity, Grok, and Muse.

How to trade the odds on US crude oil inventories for the week ending October 23, 2026

  1. 1

    Create a Public account

    Sign up on Public.com or download the Public app for iOS or Android. Complete your profile in minutes, then explore live odds and probabilities across prediction markets.

  2. 2

    Fund your account

    Securely link your bank account to deposit funds. Depending on eligibility, you may unlock up to $250,000 in instant buying power right away.

  3. 3

    Buy and sell event contracts

    Explore Prediction Markets from the Invest menu or search Public for US crude oil inventories for the week ending October 23, 2026. Review the latest odds and probabilities, then buy or sell event contracts based on your view.

  4. 4

    Manage your portfolio

    Track your prediction market positions alongside stocks, options, bonds, and crypto. Plus, create AI Agents for investing and connect your portfolio through MCP to AI models like ChatGPT, Claude, Perplexity, Grok, and Muse.

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Live odds on US crude oil inventories for the week ending October 23, 2026

Track live odds and trade event contracts inside a multi-asset portfolio on Public. Plus, create AI Agents for your prediction market strategies.

US crude oil inventories for the week ending October 23, 2026

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Odds
Max payoutBefore fees
$0.00

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Event estimated to resolve on at 10:00AM. These probabilities are based on what other investors recently paid for Yes and No positions.


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Trading event contracts involves significant risk and is not appropriate for all investors. Before investing, please read our Event Contracts Risk Disclosure and carefully consider your financial situation, investment objectives, and risk tolerance. Live data is for informational purposes only and may be delayed or incorrect.


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