Prediction Markets
Economics
Texas ERCOT peak electricity demand on Oct 23, 2026

Texas ERCOT peak electricity demand on Oct 23, 2026

Above 61,500 MW98¢98%

Above 63,500 MW98¢98%

Above 62,000 MW96¢96%

1D1W1MAll

$25,255.94 Vol.

Event estimated to resolve on Oct 24 at 4:55 AM UTC. These probabilities are based on what other investors recently paid for Yes and No positions.

About

If the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 23, 2026 is above 61,500 MW, then the market resolves to Yes. The Expiration Value is the highest value in the TOTAL column of the first complete “Actual System Load by Forecast Zone” CSV report published by ERCOT for the October 23, 2026 operating day. Each value represents ERCOT system load for the corresponding full hour. Instantaneous load readings displayed elsewhere by ERCOT will not be considered. Values will be compared as published without rounding. Later revisions, settlement adjustments, or republications will not affect the Expiration Value.

Full contract termsView
SourceElectric Reliability Council of Texas (ERCOT)
Est. resolution dateOct 24, 2026
Total event volume$25,255.94
Timeline
The market will close and expire early if the event occurs. Otherwise, it closes by October 24, 2026 at 4:55 AM UTC.
1. Oct 23, 2026 at 4:55 AM UTCEvent open
2. Oct 24, 2026 at 4:55 AM UTCEvent closed
3. Oct 31, 2026 at 5:26 AM UTCProjected payout
Insider trading is prohibited
The following are prohibited from trading this contract:
- Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
- Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.

Trade Yes contracts

Above 68,500 MW
Volume$5,568.02
Price1¢
— today
Above 65,000 MW
Volume$4,141.38
Price1¢
— today
Above 63,000 MW
Volume$4,080.02
Price100¢
— today
Above 64,500 MW
Volume$2,882.12
Price1¢
— today
Above 68,000 MW
Volume$2,700.02
Price1¢
— today
Above 63,500 MW
Volume$2,163.82
Price100¢
— today
Above 65,500 MW
Volume$1,390.02
Price1¢
— today
Above 64,000 MW
Volume$1,380.74
Price5¢
— today
Above 69,500 MW
Volume$500.00
Price1¢
— today
Above 66,500 MW
Volume$301.80
Price1¢
— today

Trade No contracts

Above 68,500 MW
Volume$5,568.02
Price100¢
— today
Above 65,000 MW
Volume$4,141.38
Price100¢
— today
Above 63,000 MW
Volume$4,080.02
Price1¢
— today
Above 64,500 MW
Volume$2,882.12
Price100¢
— today
Above 68,000 MW
Volume$2,700.02
Price100¢
— today
Above 63,500 MW
Volume$2,163.82
Price1¢
— today
Above 65,500 MW
Volume$1,390.02
Price100¢
— today
Above 64,000 MW
Volume$1,380.74
Price100¢
— today
Above 69,500 MW
Volume$500.00
Price100¢
— today
Above 66,500 MW
Volume$301.80
Price100¢
— today

Public shows live market-implied probabilities, contract prices, and trading volume for Texas ERCOT peak electricity demand on Oct 23, 2026. The leading outcome is Above 61,500 MW, with an estimated probability of 98% and a Yes contract price of $1.00. Odds can change as traders buy and sell event contracts.

On Public, you can buy and sell event contracts for Texas ERCOT peak electricity demand on Oct 23, 2026 by choosing from the available outcomes. Compare live odds, probabilities, prices, and trading volume before making a trade. You can manage prediction markets alongside stocks, options, bonds, and crypto on Public.

Each event contract represents an outcome for Texas ERCOT peak electricity demand on Oct 23, 2026. On Public, you can take a Yes or No position based on whether you think that outcome will occur. Contract prices reflect market-implied probabilities and can change as the market trades.

The estimated resolution date for Texas ERCOT peak electricity demand on Oct 23, 2026 is Oct 24, 2026. The prediction market will resolve according to its contract terms using Electric Reliability Council of Texas (ERCOT) as the designated source. See the full contract terms on Public for the specific resolution criteria.

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2
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Live odds on Texas ERCOT peak electricity demand on Oct 23, 2026

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Texas ERCOT peak electricity demand on Oct 23, 2026

Order

Odds

Yes 98%No 2%

Amount

Max payoutBefore fees

$0.00

Prediction Markets Glossary

Learn more

Event estimated to resolve on October 24 at 10:00AM. These probabilities are based on what other investors recently paid for Yes and No positions.

Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply.

Trading event contracts involves significant risk and is not appropriate for all investors. Before investing, please read our Event Contracts Risk Disclosure and carefully consider your financial situation, investment objectives, and risk tolerance. Live data is for informational purposes only and may be delayed or incorrect.

Event contracts offered by Open to the Public Investing, Inc. and Apex Clearing Corp. through KalshiEX LLC.

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Texas ERCOT peak electricity demand on Oct 23, 2026

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FAQ

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How to trade the odds on Texas ERCOT peak electricity demand on Oct 23, 2026

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Buy and sell event contracts

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Live odds on Texas ERCOT peak electricity demand on Oct 23, 2026

Texas ERCOT peak electricity demand on Oct 23, 2026

Prediction Markets Glossary

Texas ERCOT peak electricity demand on Oct 23, 2026

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FAQ

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What are the current odds and probabilities for Texas ERCOT peak electricity demand on Oct 23, 2026

How can I trade this prediction market on Public: Texas ERCOT peak electricity demand on Oct 23, 2026

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How to trade the odds on Texas ERCOT peak electricity demand on Oct 23, 2026

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Related events

Live odds on Texas ERCOT peak electricity demand on Oct 23, 2026

Texas ERCOT peak electricity demand on Oct 23, 2026

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