Prediction Markets
Economics
U.S. oil production per day in 2026

U.S. oil production per day in 2026

At least 14.00M bpd82¢82%

At least 14.10M bpd41¢41%

At least 14.25M bpd10¢10%

1D1W1MAll

$63,146.38 Vol.

Event estimated to resolve on Jan 1, 2027. These probabilities are based on what other investors recently paid for Yes and No positions.

About

If the U.S. produces at least 14.00 million barrels of oil per day, between Issuance and before January 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. For the purposes of this market, 1,000 thousand barrels per day = 1.00M bpd.

Full contract termsView
SourceABC, Axios, CBS, CNN, EIA, Fox News, MSNBC, Politico, Reuters, Semafor, The Information, The Wall Street Journal, The Washington Post, the Associated Press
Est. resolution dateJan 1, 2027
Total event volume$63,146.38
Timeline
The market will close and expire early if the event occurs. Otherwise, it closes by January 1, 2027 at 4:59 AM UTC.
1. Mar 11, 2026 at 2:00 PM UTCEvent open
2. Jan 1, 2027 at 4:59 AM UTCEvent closed
3. Jan 1, 2027 at 5:29 AM UTCProjected payout
Insider trading is prohibited
The following are prohibited from trading this contract:
- Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
- Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.

Trade Yes contracts

At least 14.00M bpd
Volume$24,141.82
Price88¢
-3.53% today
At least 14.10M bpd
Volume$15,007.90
Price42¢
+7.89% today
At least 14.40M bpd
Volume$13,834.74
Price8¢
+66.67% today
At least 14.25M bpd
Volume$10,161.92
Price15¢
-23.08% today

Trade No contracts

At least 14.00M bpd
Volume$24,141.82
Price18¢
+20.00% today
At least 14.10M bpd
Volume$15,007.90
Price65¢
-4.84% today
At least 14.40M bpd
Volume$13,834.74
Price96¢
-4.26% today
At least 14.25M bpd
Volume$10,161.92
Price89¢
+3.45% today

Public shows live market-implied probabilities, contract prices, and trading volume for U.S. oil production per day in 2026. The leading outcome is At least 14.00M bpd, with an estimated probability of 82% and a Yes contract price of $0.88. Odds can change as traders buy and sell event contracts.

On Public, you can buy and sell event contracts for U.S. oil production per day in 2026 by choosing from the available outcomes. Compare live odds, probabilities, prices, and trading volume before making a trade. You can manage prediction markets alongside stocks, options, bonds, and crypto on Public.

Each event contract represents an outcome for U.S. oil production per day in 2026. On Public, you can take a Yes or No position based on whether you think that outcome will occur. Contract prices reflect market-implied probabilities and can change as the market trades.

The estimated resolution date for U.S. oil production per day in 2026 is Jan 1, 2027. The prediction market will resolve according to its contract terms using ABC, Axios, CBS, CNN, EIA, Fox News, MSNBC, Politico, Reuters, Semafor, The Information, The Wall Street Journal, The Washington Post, the Associated Press as the designated source. See the full contract terms on Public for the specific resolution criteria.

Yes. Public's AI Agents let you automate prediction market strategies using rules you define in plain English. Create an Agent to monitor the odds for U.S. oil production per day in 2026 and take supported actions when your conditions are met. Since prediction markets trade 24/7, your Agent can monitor opportunities around the clock. You can also connect Public to your preferred AI model through MCP, including ChatGPT, Claude, Perplexity, Grok, and Muse.

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Live odds on U.S. oil production per day in 2026

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U.S. oil production per day in 2026

Order

Odds

Yes 82%No 18%

Amount

Max payoutBefore fees

$0.00

Prediction Markets Glossary

Learn more

Event estimated to resolve on January 1 at 10:00AM. These probabilities are based on what other investors recently paid for Yes and No positions.

Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply.

Trading event contracts involves significant risk and is not appropriate for all investors. Before investing, please read our Event Contracts Risk Disclosure and carefully consider your financial situation, investment objectives, and risk tolerance. Live data is for informational purposes only and may be delayed or incorrect.

Event contracts offered by Open to the Public Investing, Inc. and Apex Clearing Corp. through KalshiEX LLC.

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U.S. oil production per day in 2026

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How to trade the odds on U.S. oil production per day in 2026

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U.S. oil production per day in 2026

Prediction Markets Glossary

U.S. oil production per day in 2026

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FAQ

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds and probabilities for U.S. oil production per day in 2026

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When and how will the prediction market resolve for U.S. oil production per day in 2026

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Related events

Live odds on U.S. oil production per day in 2026

U.S. oil production per day in 2026

Prediction Markets Glossary