Prediction Markets
Economics
Texas crude oil production in 2026

Texas crude oil production in 2026

Above 5.6 million barrels/day99¢99%

Above 5.7 million barrels/day97¢97%

Above 5.8 million barrels/day20¢20%

1D1W1MAll

$628,366.88 Vol.

Event estimated to resolve on Mar 31, 2027. These probabilities are based on what other investors recently paid for Yes and No positions.

About

If EIA reports Texas’s annual-average field production of crude oil for calendar year 2026 is above 5.6 million barrels/day, then the market resolves to Yes. Resolution will use EIA’s Texas Field Production of Crude Oil statistic. Production is measured in thousand barrels per day and will be converted to million barrels per day by dividing by 1,000. EIA notes that its Texas estimates may differ from Railroad Commission of Texas figures, so only EIA data will be used.

Full contract termsView
SourceFederal Reserve Bank of New York
Est. resolution dateMar 31, 2027
Total event volume$628,366.88
Timeline
The market will close and expire early if the event occurs. Otherwise, it closes by March 31, 2027 at 1:59 PM UTC.
1. Aug 18, 2026 at 4:00 PM UTCEvent open
2. Mar 31, 2027 at 1:59 PM UTCEvent closed
3. Apr 7, 2027 at 2:30 PM UTCProjected payout
Insider trading is prohibited
The following are prohibited from trading this contract:
- Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
- Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.

Trade Yes contracts

Above 5.7 million barrels/day
Volume$261,601.54
Price97¢
+1.04% today
Above 5.8 million barrels/day
Volume$137,771.10
Price20¢
0.00% today
Above 5.9 million barrels/day
Volume$120,348.92
Price4¢
-25.00% today
Above 5.6 million barrels/day
Volume$108,645.32
Price99¢
+1.02% today

Trade No contracts

Above 5.7 million barrels/day
Volume$261,601.54
Price4¢
-25.00% today
Above 5.8 million barrels/day
Volume$137,771.10
Price81¢
0.00% today
Above 5.9 million barrels/day
Volume$120,348.92
Price97¢
+1.04% today
Above 5.6 million barrels/day
Volume$108,645.32
Price2¢
-50.00% today

Public shows live market-implied probabilities, contract prices, and trading volume for Texas crude oil production in 2026. The leading outcome is Above 5.6 million barrels/day, with an estimated probability of 99% and a Yes contract price of $0.99. Odds can change as traders buy and sell event contracts.

On Public, you can buy and sell event contracts for Texas crude oil production in 2026 by choosing from the available outcomes. Compare live odds, probabilities, prices, and trading volume before making a trade. You can manage prediction markets alongside stocks, options, bonds, and crypto on Public.

Each event contract represents an outcome for Texas crude oil production in 2026. On Public, you can take a Yes or No position based on whether you think that outcome will occur. Contract prices reflect market-implied probabilities and can change as the market trades.

The estimated resolution date for Texas crude oil production in 2026 is Mar 31, 2027. The prediction market will resolve according to its contract terms using Federal Reserve Bank of New York as the designated source. See the full contract terms on Public for the specific resolution criteria.

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Live odds on Texas crude oil production in 2026

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Texas crude oil production in 2026

Order

Odds

Yes 99%No 1%

Amount

Max payoutBefore fees

$0.00

Prediction Markets Glossary

Learn more

Event estimated to resolve on March 31 at 10:00AM. These probabilities are based on what other investors recently paid for Yes and No positions.

Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply.

Trading event contracts involves significant risk and is not appropriate for all investors. Before investing, please read our Event Contracts Risk Disclosure and carefully consider your financial situation, investment objectives, and risk tolerance. Live data is for informational purposes only and may be delayed or incorrect.

Event contracts offered by Open to the Public Investing, Inc. and Apex Clearing Corp. through KalshiEX LLC.

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Texas crude oil production in 2026

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How to trade the odds on Texas crude oil production in 2026

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Live odds on Texas crude oil production in 2026

Texas crude oil production in 2026

Prediction Markets Glossary

Texas crude oil production in 2026

About

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FAQ

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds and probabilities for Texas crude oil production in 2026

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How do event contracts work for Texas crude oil production in 2026

When and how will the prediction market resolve for Texas crude oil production in 2026

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How to trade the odds on Texas crude oil production in 2026

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Related events

Live odds on Texas crude oil production in 2026

Texas crude oil production in 2026

Prediction Markets Glossary