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Economics

Bank of Japan rate decision in October

Maintain current rate96¢96%
Hike 25bps3¢3%
Cut 25bps1¢1%
$84,476.18 Vol.

Event estimated to resolve on . These probabilities are based on what other investors recently paid for Yes and No positions.

About

If the Bank of Japan takes the action of Maintain current rate at October 2026 Monetary Policy Meeting, then the market resolves to Yes. The market resolves based on the official policy rate decision announced by the central bank. For central banks with multiple policy rates, only changes to the primary policy rate count. If the meeting is cancelled or delayed past the expiration date, markets for "No change" resolve to Yes and all others resolve to No. Emergency rate changes between scheduled meetings do not affect resolution of contracts tied to scheduled meetings. The specific basis point ranges are inclusive (e.g., "25-50bp" includes both 25bp and 50bp changes).

Trade Yes contracts

  • Maintain current rate
    Volume$41,769.90
    Price96¢
    0.00% today
  • Hike 25bps
    Volume$26,251.08
    Price3¢
    +50.00% today
  • Hike more than 25bps
    Volume$12,617.80
    Price1¢
    — today
  • Cut 25bps
    Volume$1,933.40
    Price1¢
    — today
  • Cut more than 25bps
    Volume$1,904.00
    Price1¢
    — today

Trade No contracts

  • Maintain current rate
    Volume$41,769.90
    Price5¢
    0.00% today
  • Hike 25bps
    Volume$26,251.08
    Price98¢
    -1.02% today
  • Hike more than 25bps
    Volume$12,617.80
    Price100¢
    -1.00% today
  • Cut 25bps
    Volume$1,933.40
    Price100¢
    -1.00% today
  • Cut more than 25bps
    Volume$1,904.00
    Price100¢
    -1.00% today

FAQ

Frequently asked questions

Public shows live market-implied probabilities, contract prices, and trading volume for Bank of Japan rate decision in October. The leading outcome is Maintain current rate, with an estimated probability of 96% and a Yes contract price of $0.96. Odds can change as traders buy and sell event contracts.

On Public, you can buy and sell event contracts for Bank of Japan rate decision in October by choosing from the available outcomes. Compare live odds, probabilities, prices, and trading volume before making a trade. You can manage prediction markets alongside stocks, options, bonds, and crypto on Public.

Each event contract represents an outcome for Bank of Japan rate decision in October. On Public, you can take a Yes or No position based on whether you think that outcome will occur. Contract prices reflect market-implied probabilities and can change as the market trades.

The estimated resolution date for Bank of Japan rate decision in October is Oct 30, 2026. The prediction market will resolve according to its contract terms using ABC, Associated Press, Axios, BBC, Bloomberg News, Bloomberg Terminal, CBS, CNN, Federal Reserve Economic Data, Financial Times, Fox News, MSNBC, MarketWatch, NBC, Politico, Reuters, Semafor, The Information, The New York Times, The Wall Street Journal, The Washington Post, central bank, in hierarchical order as the designated source. See the full contract terms on Public for the specific resolution criteria.

Yes. Public's AI Agents let you automate prediction market strategies using rules you define in plain English. Create an Agent to monitor the odds for Bank of Japan rate decision in October and take supported actions when your conditions are met. Since prediction markets trade 24/7, your Agent can monitor opportunities around the clock. You can also connect Public to your preferred AI model through MCP, including ChatGPT, Claude, Perplexity, Grok, and Muse.

How to trade the odds on Bank of Japan rate decision in October

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  2. 2

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  3. 3

    Buy and sell event contracts

    Explore Prediction Markets from the Invest menu or search Public for Bank of Japan rate decision in October. Review the latest odds and probabilities, then buy or sell event contracts based on your view.

  4. 4

    Manage your portfolio

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Live odds on Bank of Japan rate decision in October

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Bank of Japan rate decision in October

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Prediction Markets Glossary

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Event estimated to resolve on at 10:00AM. These probabilities are based on what other investors recently paid for Yes and No positions.


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Trading event contracts involves significant risk and is not appropriate for all investors. Before investing, please read our Event Contracts Risk Disclosure and carefully consider your financial situation, investment objectives, and risk tolerance. Live data is for informational purposes only and may be delayed or incorrect.


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