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Economics

More tech layoffs in 20​26 than in 2025?

Yes94.1¢94%
No5.9¢6%
$63,000,995.86 Vol.

Event estimated to resolve on . These probabilities are based on what other investors recently paid for Yes and No positions.

About

If there are more than 447,000 layoffs in the information sector in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Important information: This market was listed using an incorrect underlying value for tech layoffs in 2025. The correct floor strike is 447,000 layoffs, not 494,000 as currently specified. If the final layoff count falls between those two numbers, we will pay out $1.00 to all traders with an open position as of March 13, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET. The rulebook variable has been updated accordingly. Trades executed after this time are not eligible for reimbursement.

  • Full contract termsView
  • SourceFRED
  • Est. resolution date
  • Total event volume$63,000,995.86
  • Timeline

    The market will close and expire early if the event occurs. Otherwise, it closes by .

    1. Event open
    2. Event closed
    3. Projected payout
  • Insider trading is prohibited

    The following are prohibited from trading this contract:

    • Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
    • Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.

Trade Yes and No contracts

  • Yes
    Volume$63,000,995.86
    Price94.5¢
    +0.11% today
  • No
    Volume$63,000,995.86
    Price5.8¢
    -1.67% today

FAQ

Frequently asked questions

Public shows live market-implied probabilities, contract prices, and trading volume for More tech layoffs in 20​26 than in 2025?. The outcome is Yes, with an estimated probability of 94% and a Yes contract price of $0.945. Odds can change as traders buy and sell event contracts.

On Public, you can buy and sell event contracts for More tech layoffs in 20​26 than in 2025? by choosing from the available outcomes. Compare live odds, probabilities, prices, and trading volume before making a trade. You can manage prediction markets alongside stocks, options, bonds, and crypto on Public.

Each event contract represents an outcome for More tech layoffs in 20​26 than in 2025?. On Public, you can take a Yes or No position based on whether you think that outcome will occur. Contract prices reflect market-implied probabilities and can change as the market trades.

The estimated resolution date for More tech layoffs in 20​26 than in 2025? is Mar 1, 2027. The prediction market will resolve according to its contract terms using FRED as the designated source. See the full contract terms on Public for the specific resolution criteria.

Yes. Public's AI Agents let you automate prediction market strategies using rules you define in plain English. Create an Agent to monitor the odds for More tech layoffs in 20​26 than in 2025? and take supported actions when your conditions are met. Since prediction markets trade 24/7, your Agent can monitor opportunities around the clock. You can also connect Public to your preferred AI model through MCP, including ChatGPT, Claude, Perplexity, Grok, and Muse.

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  3. 3

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Live odds on More tech layoffs in 20​26 than in 2025?

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More tech layoffs in 20​26 than in 2025?

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Event estimated to resolve on at 10:00AM. These probabilities are based on what other investors recently paid for Yes and No positions.


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