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How high will peak electricity demand on the Texas ERCOT grid get in 2026?

How high will peak electricity demand on the Texas ERCOT grid get in 2026?

Above 91,500 MW6¢6%

Above 92,000 MW4¢4%

Above 92,500 MW4¢4%

1D1W1MAll

$1,744,044 Vol.

Event estimated to resolve on Jan 1, 2027. These probabilities are based on what other investors recently paid for Yes and No positions.

About

If ERCOT reports that the integrated system load on the ERCOT grid during calendar year 2026 is above 91,500 MW, then the market resolves to Yes. Resolution will use ERCOT’s integrated system load for a full hour. Instantaneous load readings will not be considered. ERCOT’s preliminary peak-demand figures may change during the settlement process. Resolution will use the applicable official settled peak-demand value published by ERCOT.

Full contract termsView
SourceFederal Reserve Bank of New York
Est. resolution dateJan 1, 2027
Total event volume$1,744,044.00
Timeline
The market will close and expire early if the event occurs. Otherwise, it closes by January 1, 2027 at 6:29 AM UTC.
1. Aug 19, 2026 at 7:30 PM UTCEvent open
2. Jan 1, 2027 at 6:29 AM UTCEvent closed
3. Jan 8, 2027 at 7:00 AM UTCProjected payout
Insider trading is prohibited
The following are prohibited from trading this contract:
- Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
- Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.

Trade Yes contracts

Above 91,500 MW
Volume$471,513.68
Price6¢
+50.00% today
Above 92,000 MW
Volume$291,706.36
Price4¢
0.00% today
Above 94,000 MW
Volume$253,121.74
Price3¢
+50.00% today
Above 96,000 MW
Volume$235,620.50
Price3¢
+50.00% today
Above 93,000 MW
Volume$214,865.16
Price3¢
+50.00% today
Above 92,500 MW
Volume$168,118.12
Price4¢
0.00% today
Above 98,000 MW
Volume$109,098.44
Price2¢
0.00% today

Trade No contracts

Above 91,500 MW
Volume$471,513.68
Price95¢
-2.08% today
Above 92,000 MW
Volume$291,706.36
Price97¢
0.00% today
Above 94,000 MW
Volume$253,121.74
Price98¢
-1.02% today
Above 96,000 MW
Volume$235,620.50
Price98¢
-1.02% today
Above 93,000 MW
Volume$214,865.16
Price98¢
-1.02% today
Above 92,500 MW
Volume$168,118.12
Price97¢
0.00% today
Above 98,000 MW
Volume$109,098.44
Price99¢
0.00% today

Public shows live market-implied probabilities, contract prices, and trading volume for How high will peak electricity demand on the Texas ERCOT grid get in 2026?. The leading outcome is Above 91,500 MW, with an estimated probability of 6% and a Yes contract price of $0.06. Odds can change as traders buy and sell event contracts.

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Each event contract represents an outcome for How high will peak electricity demand on the Texas ERCOT grid get in 2026?. On Public, you can take a Yes or No position based on whether you think that outcome will occur. Contract prices reflect market-implied probabilities and can change as the market trades.

The estimated resolution date for How high will peak electricity demand on the Texas ERCOT grid get in 2026? is Jan 1, 2027. The prediction market will resolve according to its contract terms using Federal Reserve Bank of New York as the designated source. See the full contract terms on Public for the specific resolution criteria.

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Live odds on How high will peak electricity demand on the Texas ERCOT grid get in 2026?

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How high will peak electricity demand on the Texas ERCOT grid get in 2026?

Order

Odds

Yes 6%No 94%

Amount

Max payoutBefore fees

$0.00

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Event estimated to resolve on January 1 at 10:00AM. These probabilities are based on what other investors recently paid for Yes and No positions.

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Event contracts offered by Open to the Public Investing, Inc. and Apex Clearing Corp. through KalshiEX LLC.

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How high will peak electricity demand on the Texas ERCOT grid get in 2026?

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How high will peak electricity demand on the Texas ERCOT grid get in 2026?

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How high will peak electricity demand on the Texas ERCOT grid get in 2026?

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Live odds on How high will peak electricity demand on the Texas ERCOT grid get in 2026?

How high will peak electricity demand on the Texas ERCOT grid get in 2026?

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