Fable 5.2+ debut arena score
Event estimated to resolve on . These probabilities are based on what other investors recently paid for Yes and No positions.
About
If A Anthropic Claude Fable model designated version 5.2 or higher scores Above 1530 on Arena AI Text Score (Remove Style Control) Before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. If multiple qualifying models are added, the highest scoring model will be used for resolution. Models added following the initial qualifying model will not count. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with Arena. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
- Full contract termsView
- SourceLM Arena Leaderboard (Remove Style Control)
- Est. resolution date
- Total event volume$166.42
- Timeline
- Insider trading is prohibited
Trade Yes contracts
| Contract | Volume | Price | 1D change | Est. probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 1550 | $108.50 | 30¢ | -90.00% | |
| Above 1540 | $30.96 | 89¢ | -43.75% | |
| Above 1530 | $26.96 | 93¢ | +182.35% | |
| Above 1490 | $0 | 97¢ | -100.00% | |
| Above 1500 | $0 | 98¢ | -100.00% | |
| Above 1510 | $0 | 97¢ | -100.00% | |
| Above 1520 | $0 | 97¢ | -100.00% |
Trade No contracts
| Contract | Volume | Price | 1D change | Est. probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 1550 | $108.50 | 90¢ | +22.50% | |
| Above 1540 | $30.96 | 98¢ | +8.33% | |
| Above 1530 | $26.96 | 97¢ | -93.94% | |
| Above 1490 | $0 | 67¢ | +185.71% | |
| Above 1500 | $0 | 98¢ | +117.39% | |
| Above 1510 | $0 | 98¢ | +100.00% | |
| Above 1520 | $0 | 98¢ | +85.19% |
FAQ
Frequently asked questions
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Fable 5.2+ debut arena score
Prediction Markets Glossary
Learn moreEvent estimated to resolve on at 10:00AM. These probabilities are based on what other investors recently paid for Yes and No positions.
Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply.
Trading event contracts involves significant risk and is not appropriate for all investors. Before investing, please read our Event Contracts Risk Disclosure and carefully consider your financial situation, investment objectives, and risk tolerance. Live data is for informational purposes only and may be delayed or incorrect.
Event contracts offered by Open to the Public Investing, Inc. and Apex Clearing Corp. through KalshiEX LLC.