Prediction Markets
Economics
China strategic oil inventories in Q3 2026

China strategic oil inventories in Q3 2026

Above 1,400 million barrels78¢78%

Above 1,450 million barrels52¢52%

Above 1,500 million barrels29¢29%

1D1W1MAll

$1,077.58 Vol.

Event estimated to resolve on Nov 10 at 4:59 PM UTC. These probabilities are based on what other investors recently paid for Yes and No positions.

About

If the U.S. Energy Information Administration estimates that China’s strategic oil inventories for Q3 2026 were above 1,400 million barrels, then the market resolves to Yes. The Underlying is the China value for Q3 2026 in Table 1, “Estimated Strategic Oil Inventories for Select Countries,” in EIA’s Global Energy Security Data. For this estimate, EIA includes both government-held and commercial inventories in China’s strategic oil inventories. The first value published by EIA for Q3 2026 will be used. Subsequent revisions will not affect resolution.

Full contract termsView
SourceFederal Reserve Bank of New York
Est. resolution dateNov 10, 2026
Total event volume$1,077.58
Timeline
The market will close and expire early if the event occurs. Otherwise, it closes by November 10, 2026 at 4:59 PM UTC.
1. Aug 28, 2026 at 11:30 PM UTCEvent open
2. Nov 10, 2026 at 4:59 PM UTCEvent closed
3. Nov 17, 2026 at 5:30 PM UTCProjected payout
Insider trading is prohibited
The following are prohibited from trading this contract:
- Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
- Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.

Trade Yes contracts

Above 1,600 million barrels
Volume$468.00
Price6¢
+75.00% today
Above 1,500 million barrels
Volume$332.06
Price29¢
+20.83% today
Above 1,400 million barrels
Volume$209.98
Price85¢
-2.50% today
Above 1,450 million barrels
Volume$67.54
Price60¢
-7.14% today
Above 1,550 million barrels
Volume$0.00
Price8¢
-100.00% today

Trade No contracts

Above 1,600 million barrels
Volume$468.00
Price99¢
-3.13% today
Above 1,500 million barrels
Volume$332.06
Price80¢
-6.58% today
Above 1,400 million barrels
Volume$209.98
Price24¢
+10.00% today
Above 1,450 million barrels
Volume$67.54
Price49¢
+9.09% today
Above 1,550 million barrels
Volume$0.00
Price99¢
+4.17% today

Public shows live market-implied probabilities, contract prices, and trading volume for China strategic oil inventories in Q3 2026. The leading outcome is Above 1,400 million barrels, with an estimated probability of 78% and a Yes contract price of $0.85. Odds can change as traders buy and sell event contracts.

On Public, you can buy and sell event contracts for China strategic oil inventories in Q3 2026 by choosing from the available outcomes. Compare live odds, probabilities, prices, and trading volume before making a trade. You can manage prediction markets alongside stocks, options, bonds, and crypto on Public.

Each event contract represents an outcome for China strategic oil inventories in Q3 2026. On Public, you can take a Yes or No position based on whether you think that outcome will occur. Contract prices reflect market-implied probabilities and can change as the market trades.

The estimated resolution date for China strategic oil inventories in Q3 2026 is Nov 10, 2026. The prediction market will resolve according to its contract terms using Federal Reserve Bank of New York as the designated source. See the full contract terms on Public for the specific resolution criteria.

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Live odds on China strategic oil inventories in Q3 2026

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China strategic oil inventories in Q3 2026

Order

Odds

Yes 78%No 22%

Amount

Max payoutBefore fees

$0.00

Prediction Markets Glossary

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Event estimated to resolve on November 10 at 10:00AM. These probabilities are based on what other investors recently paid for Yes and No positions.

Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply.

Trading event contracts involves significant risk and is not appropriate for all investors. Before investing, please read our Event Contracts Risk Disclosure and carefully consider your financial situation, investment objectives, and risk tolerance. Live data is for informational purposes only and may be delayed or incorrect.

Event contracts offered by Open to the Public Investing, Inc. and Apex Clearing Corp. through KalshiEX LLC.

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China strategic oil inventories in Q3 2026

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China strategic oil inventories in Q3 2026

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China strategic oil inventories in Q3 2026

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Related events

Live odds on China strategic oil inventories in Q3 2026

China strategic oil inventories in Q3 2026

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