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Bluest state to elect a Republican senator in 2026?

Maine36¢36%
Florida34¢34%
Ohio9¢9%
$362,440.48 Vol.

Event estimated to resolve on . These probabilities are based on what other investors recently paid for Yes and No positions.

About

If Maine is the state with the highest 2024 Harris-minus-Trump presidential margin among states where a Republican candidate wins a 2026 U.S. Senate election, then the market resolves to Yes. A state's 2024 margin is Kamala Harris's share of that state's certified 2024 presidential vote minus Donald Trump's share, per the Federal Election Commission's official 2024 presidential general election results. The margin is negative where Trump won. A state qualifies only if the certified winner of its 2026 regular or special U.S. Senate election, after any required runoff or ranked-choice tabulation, is listed on the general-election ballot as a Republican. Independent and third-party winners do NOT count, even if they caucus with Republicans. Each state's winner is as certified by that state's official election authority. An unlisted qualifying state with the highest margin, or no qualifying state, makes every named market resolve NO.

Trade Yes contracts

  • Colorado
    Volume$36,180.00
    Price1¢
    — today
  • Delaware
    Volume$33,678.64
    Price1¢
    — today
  • Alaska
    Volume$29,408.00
    Price2¢
    0.00% today
  • New Mexico
    Volume$24,090.00
    Price1¢
    — today
  • Oregon
    Volume$23,909.38
    Price1¢
    — today
  • Virginia
    Volume$23,067.10
    Price1¢
    — today
  • New Jersey
    Volume$22,906.00
    Price1¢
    — today
  • Texas
    Volume$22,906.00
    Price1¢
    — today
  • Illinois
    Volume$22,506.00
    Price1¢
    — today
  • Massachusetts
    Volume$22,506.00
    Price1¢
    — today

Trade No contracts

  • Colorado
    Volume$36,180.00
    Price100¢
    -1.00% today
  • Delaware
    Volume$33,678.64
    Price100¢
    -1.00% today
  • Alaska
    Volume$29,408.00
    Price100¢
    0.00% today
  • New Mexico
    Volume$24,090.00
    Price100¢
    -1.00% today
  • Oregon
    Volume$23,909.38
    Price100¢
    -1.00% today
  • Virginia
    Volume$23,067.10
    Price100¢
    -1.00% today
  • New Jersey
    Volume$22,906.00
    Price100¢
    -1.00% today
  • Texas
    Volume$22,906.00
    Price100¢
    -1.00% today
  • Illinois
    Volume$22,506.00
    Price100¢
    -1.00% today
  • Massachusetts
    Volume$22,506.00
    Price100¢
    -1.00% today

FAQ

Frequently asked questions

Public shows live market-implied probabilities, contract prices, and trading volume for Bluest state to elect a Republican senator in 2026?. The leading outcome is Maine, with an estimated probability of 36% and a Yes contract price of $0.36. Odds can change as traders buy and sell event contracts.

On Public, you can buy and sell event contracts for Bluest state to elect a Republican senator in 2026? by choosing from the available outcomes. Compare live odds, probabilities, prices, and trading volume before making a trade. You can manage prediction markets alongside stocks, options, bonds, and crypto on Public.

Each event contract represents an outcome for Bluest state to elect a Republican senator in 2026?. On Public, you can take a Yes or No position based on whether you think that outcome will occur. Contract prices reflect market-implied probabilities and can change as the market trades.

The estimated resolution date for Bluest state to elect a Republican senator in 2026? is Jan 3, 2027. The prediction market will resolve according to its contract terms using Colorado Secretary of State, Delaware Department of Elections, Federal Election Commission, Georgia Secretary of State, Illinois State Board of Elections, Maine Secretary of State, Division of Elections, Massachusetts Secretary of the Commonwealth, Elections Division, Michigan Secretary of State, Minnesota Secretary of State, New Hampshire Secretary of State, New Jersey Division of Elections, New Mexico Secretary of State, Elections Division, North Carolina State Board of Elections, Oregon Secretary of State, Elections Division, Rhode Island Board of Elections, Virginia Department of Elections as the designated source. See the full contract terms on Public for the specific resolution criteria.

Yes. Public's AI Agents let you automate prediction market strategies using rules you define in plain English. Create an Agent to monitor the odds for Bluest state to elect a Republican senator in 2026? and take supported actions when your conditions are met. Since prediction markets trade 24/7, your Agent can monitor opportunities around the clock. You can also connect Public to your preferred AI model through MCP, including ChatGPT, Claude, Perplexity, Grok, and Muse.

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Live odds on Bluest state to elect a Republican senator in 2026?

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Bluest state to elect a Republican senator in 2026?

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Event estimated to resolve on at 10:00AM. These probabilities are based on what other investors recently paid for Yes and No positions.


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Quotes and other market data for Public’s product offerings are obtained from third party sources believed to be reliable, but Public makes no representation or warranty regarding the quality, accuracy, timeliness, and/or completeness of this information. Such information is time sensitive and subject to change based on market conditions and other factors. You assume full responsibility for any trading decisions you make based upon the market data provided, and Public is not liable for any loss caused directly or indirectly by your use of such information. Market data is provided solely for informational and/or educational purposes only. It is not intended as a recommendation and does not represent a solicitation or an offer to buy or sell any particular security.

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