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  4. When will the US SPR level be above 300 million barrels?
Economics

When will the US SPR level be above 300 million barrels?

Before Jan 1, 202854¢54%
Before Oct 1, 202741¢41%
Before Jul 1, 202718¢18%
$4,006.40 Vol.

These probabilities are based on what other investors recently paid for Yes and No positions.

About

If the US SPR level is above 300 million barrels before January 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. The US SPR level is the value on Table 1 of the U.S. Energy Information Administration's Weekly Petroleum Status Report (U.S. Petroleum Balance Sheet), row “Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR)”, under the Current Week column. The market resolves to Yes if any Weekly Petroleum Status Report released after Issuance and before the date in the market's title shows that value above 300 million barrels. A report released on or after that date does not count, even if the week it covers ended before it. The value as first published for each week governs; later revisions are not counted.

  • Full contract termsView
  • SourceU.S. Energy Information Administration
  • Est. resolution date—
  • Total event volume$4,006.40
  • Timeline

    The market will close and expire early if the event occurs. Otherwise, it closes by .

    1. Event open
    2. Event closed
    3. Projected payout
  • Insider trading is prohibited

    The following are prohibited from trading this contract:

    • Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
    • Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.

Trade Yes contracts

ContractVolumePrice1D changeEst. probability
Before Jul 1, 2027
$3.98K17¢+5.88%
Before Oct 1, 2027
$15.5841¢+2.50%
Before Jan 1, 2028
$10.5655¢0.00%

Trade No contracts

ContractVolumePrice1D changeEst. probability
Before Jul 1, 2027
$3.98K84¢-1.20%
Before Oct 1, 2027
$15.5860¢-1.67%
Before Jan 1, 2028
$10.5647¢0.00%

FAQ

Frequently asked questions

Public shows live market-implied probabilities, contract prices, and trading volume for When will the US SPR level be above 300 million barrels?. The leading outcome is Before Jan 1, 2028, with an estimated probability of 54% and a Yes contract price of $0.55. Odds can change as traders buy and sell event contracts.

On Public, you can buy and sell event contracts for When will the US SPR level be above 300 million barrels? by choosing from the available outcomes. Compare live odds, probabilities, prices, and trading volume before making a trade. You can manage prediction markets alongside stocks, options, bonds, and crypto on Public.

Each event contract represents an outcome for When will the US SPR level be above 300 million barrels?. On Public, you can take a Yes or No position based on whether you think that outcome will occur. Contract prices reflect market-implied probabilities and can change as the market trades.

The prediction market will resolve according to its contract terms using U.S. Energy Information Administration as the designated source. See the full contract terms on Public for the specific resolution criteria.

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Live odds on When will the US SPR level be above 300 million barrels?

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When will the US SPR level be above 300 million barrels?

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Event estimated to resolve on the estimated date at 10:00AM. These probabilities are based on what other investors recently paid for Yes and No positions.


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