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  4. Traffic through the Suez Canal? (11/2 - 11/8)
PoliticsResolved

Traffic through the Suez Canal? (11/2 - 11/8)

Resolved

This prediction market has resolved and is no longer available to trade.

Final contract prices and probabilities

Above 26099¢99%
Above 27099¢99%
Above 29099¢99%
$370,036.46 Vol.

These probabilities are based on what other investors recently paid for Yes and No positions.

About

If the number of transit calls through the Suez Canal as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 260 from Nov 2, 2026 to Nov 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The total is calculated by summing daily counts from Nov 2, 2026 to Nov 8, 2026. The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.

  • Full contract termsView
  • SourceIMF PortWatch
  • Resolution date
  • Total event volume$370,036.46
  • Timeline

    The market will close and expire early if the event occurs. Otherwise, it closes by .

    1. Event open
    2. Event closed
    3. Projected payout
  • Insider trading is prohibited

    The following are prohibited from trading this contract:

    • Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
    • Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
    • Any candidate currently listed as a market within this event.

Final contract results

ContractResolution
Above 260
Above 270
Above 290
Above 310
Above 300
Above 280
Above 320
Above 330

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