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  4. Who will recognize Palestine before 2027?
Politics

Who will recognize Palestine before 2027?

New Zealand11¢11%
The Netherlands10¢10%
Italy9.7¢10%
$201,591 Vol.

Event estimated to resolve on . These probabilities are based on what other investors recently paid for Yes and No positions.

About

If New Zealand recognizes Palestine before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Official diplomatic recognition may include, but is not limited to: A formal announcement by the recognizing country that it recognizes the recognized country as a sovereign state Establishment of diplomatic relations at the ambassadorial level Opening of an embassy or diplomatic mission (not just consulates) Signing of a joint communiqué establishing diplomatic relations An official state visit by the head of state/government acknowledging sovereignty A formal letter of recognition from the head of state/government or foreign minister The following do NOT constitute recognition: Trade relations or commercial agreements alone Consular relations without diplomatic relations Participation in the same international conference Humanitarian assistance or aid Cultural or educational exchanges Recognition by subnational entities (states, provinces, cities) Statements of "support" without formal recognition De facto cooperation without formal recognition Recognition conditional on future events that have not occurred Parliamentary resolutions without executive action For clarity: recognition must be of the recognized country as a sovereign state, not merely acknowledgment of a government in charge. Withdrawal of recognition from a competing entity is not required. Votes in UN bodies do not constitute recognition unless accompanied by bilateral recognition.

  • Full contract termsView
  • SourceABC, Axios, BBC, CBS, CNN, Financial Times, Fox News, MSNBC, Politico, Reuters, The New York Times, The Wall Street Journal, The Washington Post, the Associated Press
  • Est. resolution date
  • Total event volume$201,591.00
  • Timeline

    The market will close and expire early if the event occurs. Otherwise, it closes by .

    1. Event open
    2. Event closed
    3. Projected payout
  • Insider trading is prohibited

    The following are prohibited from trading this contract:

    • Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
    • Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.

Trade Yes contracts

  • Japan
    Volume$30,188.34
    Price4¢
    +100.00% today
  • Italy
    Volume$28,735.92
    Price9.3¢
    +61.67% today
  • Finland
    Volume$20,917.60
    Price9.5¢
    +43.33% today
  • New Zealand
    Volume$20,100.02
    Price10¢
    +22.22% today
  • Austria
    Volume$17,640.06
    Price8.8¢
    +76.00% today
  • Greece
    Volume$14,674.08
    Price8.6¢
    -80.00% today
  • USA
    Volume$13,962.48
    Price10¢
    +20.00% today
  • Switzerland
    Volume$13,889.02
    Price9.4¢
    +220.00% today
  • Panama
    Volume$13,429.52
    Price7.9¢
    -30.00% today
  • Germany
    Volume$13,159.30
    Price7.9¢
    +86.00% today

Trade No contracts

  • Japan
    Volume$30,188.34
    Price99¢
    -2.04% today
  • Italy
    Volume$28,735.92
    Price95.7¢
    -3.94% today
  • Finland
    Volume$20,917.60
    Price97¢
    -2.77% today
  • New Zealand
    Volume$20,100.02
    Price92.6¢
    -2.20% today
  • Austria
    Volume$17,640.06
    Price98.9¢
    -4.00% today
  • Greece
    Volume$14,674.08
    Price97.4¢
    +4.21% today
  • USA
    Volume$13,962.48
    Price96.6¢
    -1.51% today
  • Switzerland
    Volume$13,889.02
    Price98.8¢
    +9,580.00% today
  • Panama
    Volume$13,429.52
    Price98.9¢
    +1.25% today
  • Germany
    Volume$13,159.30
    Price98.7¢
    -4.53% today

FAQ

Frequently asked questions

Public shows live market-implied probabilities, contract prices, and trading volume for Who will recognize Palestine before 2027?. The leading outcome is New Zealand, with an estimated probability of 11% and a Yes contract price of $0.10. Odds can change as traders buy and sell event contracts.

On Public, you can buy and sell event contracts for Who will recognize Palestine before 2027? by choosing from the available outcomes. Compare live odds, probabilities, prices, and trading volume before making a trade. You can manage prediction markets alongside stocks, options, bonds, and crypto on Public.

Each event contract represents an outcome for Who will recognize Palestine before 2027?. On Public, you can take a Yes or No position based on whether you think that outcome will occur. Contract prices reflect market-implied probabilities and can change as the market trades.

The estimated resolution date for Who will recognize Palestine before 2027? is Jan 1, 2027. The prediction market will resolve according to its contract terms using ABC, Axios, BBC, CBS, CNN, Financial Times, Fox News, MSNBC, Politico, Reuters, The New York Times, The Wall Street Journal, The Washington Post, the Associated Press as the designated source. See the full contract terms on Public for the specific resolution criteria.

Yes. Public's AI Agents let you automate prediction market strategies using rules you define in plain English. Create an Agent to monitor the odds for Who will recognize Palestine before 2027? and take supported actions when your conditions are met. Since prediction markets trade 24/7, your Agent can monitor opportunities around the clock. You can also connect Public to your preferred AI model through MCP, including ChatGPT, Claude, Perplexity, Grok, and Muse.

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Who will recognize Palestine before 2027?

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Event estimated to resolve on at 10:00AM. These probabilities are based on what other investors recently paid for Yes and No positions.


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