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Which countries will have their US Travel Advisory downgraded in 2026?

Uganda32¢32%
Democratic Republic of the Congo12¢12%
Yemen9.9¢10%
$161,024.40 Vol.

Event estimated to resolve on . These probabilities are based on what other investors recently paid for Yes and No positions.

About

If the U.S. State Department issues, updates, or reaffirms a level 3 or lower travel advisory for Uganda after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Advisories dated for future events must be effective before Jan 1, 2027 to qualify. The category level must be the one that applies to the whole country, rather than a particular region, unless the country rulebook variable in this case refers to a region. A Travel Advisory is considered "issued" when it appears on the official State Department travel advisories website with an official publication date.

  • Full contract termsView
  • Sourcethe U
  • Est. resolution date
  • Total event volume$161,024.40
  • Timeline

    The market will close and expire early if the event occurs. Otherwise, it closes by .

    1. Event open
    2. Event closed
    3. Projected payout
  • Insider trading is prohibited

    The following are prohibited from trading this contract:

    • Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
    • Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.

Trade Yes contracts

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    Volume$65,180.26
    Price7¢
    +54.00% today
  • Syria
    Volume$17,085.42
    Price12¢
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  • Lebanon
    Volume$16,400.94
    Price10¢
    -8.89% today
  • Somalia
    Volume$15,574.72
    Price2.8¢
    +190.00% today
  • Ukraine
    Volume$14,001.18
    Price5.7¢
    +90.00% today
  • Russia
    Volume$6,830.02
    Price3¢
    -40.00% today
  • Yemen
    Volume$6,254.86
    Price8¢
    +65.00% today
  • Iraq
    Volume$4,119.20
    Price6.3¢
    -62.50% today
  • Haiti
    Volume$3,856.12
    Price5.5¢
    +116.67% today
  • Afghanistan
    Volume$3,508.74
    Price2.9¢
    -45.00% today

Trade No contracts

  • Iran
    Volume$65,180.26
    Price97.8¢
    -2.84% today
  • Syria
    Volume$17,085.42
    Price93.7¢
    +4.38% today
  • Lebanon
    Volume$16,400.94
    Price91.7¢
    +0.88% today
  • Somalia
    Volume$15,574.72
    Price99.9¢
    -1.92% today
  • Ukraine
    Volume$14,001.18
    Price98.9¢
    -2.78% today
  • Russia
    Volume$6,830.02
    Price98.2¢
    +1.24% today
  • Yemen
    Volume$6,254.86
    Price96.6¢
    -4.15% today
  • Iraq
    Volume$4,119.20
    Price98.1¢
    +2.60% today
  • Haiti
    Volume$3,856.12
    Price98.9¢
    -3.61% today
  • Afghanistan
    Volume$3,508.74
    Price99¢
    +0.92% today

FAQ

Frequently asked questions

Public shows live market-implied probabilities, contract prices, and trading volume for Which countries will have their US Travel Advisory downgraded in 2026?. The leading outcome is Uganda, with an estimated probability of 32% and a Yes contract price of $0.40. Odds can change as traders buy and sell event contracts.

On Public, you can buy and sell event contracts for Which countries will have their US Travel Advisory downgraded in 2026? by choosing from the available outcomes. Compare live odds, probabilities, prices, and trading volume before making a trade. You can manage prediction markets alongside stocks, options, bonds, and crypto on Public.

Each event contract represents an outcome for Which countries will have their US Travel Advisory downgraded in 2026?. On Public, you can take a Yes or No position based on whether you think that outcome will occur. Contract prices reflect market-implied probabilities and can change as the market trades.

The estimated resolution date for Which countries will have their US Travel Advisory downgraded in 2026? is Jan 1, 2027. The prediction market will resolve according to its contract terms using the U as the designated source. See the full contract terms on Public for the specific resolution criteria.

Yes. Public's AI Agents let you automate prediction market strategies using rules you define in plain English. Create an Agent to monitor the odds for Which countries will have their US Travel Advisory downgraded in 2026? and take supported actions when your conditions are met. Since prediction markets trade 24/7, your Agent can monitor opportunities around the clock. You can also connect Public to your preferred AI model through MCP, including ChatGPT, Claude, Perplexity, Grok, and Muse.

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Live odds on Which countries will have their US Travel Advisory downgraded in 2026?

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Which countries will have their US Travel Advisory downgraded in 2026?

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Event estimated to resolve on at 10:00AM. These probabilities are based on what other investors recently paid for Yes and No positions.


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