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  4. Miguel Díaz-Canel departure announced?
Elections

Miguel Díaz-Canel departure announced?

Before November 1, 20268¢8%
Before December 1, 20264¢4%
Before October 1, 20264¢4%
$23,723.34 Vol.

These probabilities are based on what other investors recently paid for Yes and No positions.

About

If Miguel Díaz-Canel leaves office before November 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. An announcement that the Miguel Díaz-Canel will leave the office within the next year is also encompassed by the Payout Criterion. If Miguel Díaz-Canel leaves solely because they have died, the associated market will resolve and the Exchange will determine the payouts to the holders of long and short positions based upon the last traded price (prior to the death). If a last traded price is not available or is not logically consistent, or if the Exchange determines at its sole discretion that the last traded prices prior to death do not represent a fair settlement value, the Outcome Review Committee will be responsible for making a binding determination of fair allocation. Clarification (05/23/26): To clarify, Miguel Díaz-Canel currently holds two positions relevant to this market: First Secretary of the Communist Party of Cuba and President of Cuba. For purposes of this contract, departure from either position will satisfy the Payout Criterion.

  • Full contract termsView
  • SourceABC, Axios, CBS, CNN, Fox News, MSNBC, Politico, Reuters, Semafor, The Information, The New York Times, The Wall Street Journal, The Washington Post, the Associated Press
  • Est. resolution date—
  • Total event volume$23,723.34
  • Timeline

    The market will close and expire early if the event occurs. Otherwise, it closes by .

    1. Event open
    2. Event closed
    3. Projected payout
  • Insider trading is prohibited

    The following are prohibited from trading this contract:

    • Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
    • Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
    • Any candidate currently listed as a market within this event

Trade Yes contracts

  • Before November 1, 2026
    Volume$15,241.36
    Price10¢
    -11.11% today
  • Before December 1, 2026
    Volume$8,481.98
    Price9¢
    -42.86% today
  • Before October 1, 2026Closed

Trade No contracts

  • Before November 1, 2026
    Volume$15,241.36
    Price91¢
    +1.10% today
  • Before December 1, 2026
    Volume$8,481.98
    Price96¢
    +3.23% today
  • Before October 1, 2026Closed

FAQ

Frequently asked questions

Public shows live market-implied probabilities, contract prices, and trading volume for Miguel Díaz-Canel departure announced?. The leading outcome is Before November 1, 2026, with an estimated probability of 8% and a Yes contract price of $0.10. Odds can change as traders buy and sell event contracts.

On Public, you can buy and sell event contracts for Miguel Díaz-Canel departure announced? by choosing from the available outcomes. Compare live odds, probabilities, prices, and trading volume before making a trade. You can manage prediction markets alongside stocks, options, bonds, and crypto on Public.

Each event contract represents an outcome for Miguel Díaz-Canel departure announced?. On Public, you can take a Yes or No position based on whether you think that outcome will occur. Contract prices reflect market-implied probabilities and can change as the market trades.

The prediction market will resolve according to its contract terms using ABC, Axios, CBS, CNN, Fox News, MSNBC, Politico, Reuters, Semafor, The Information, The New York Times, The Wall Street Journal, The Washington Post, the Associated Press as the designated source. See the full contract terms on Public for the specific resolution criteria.

Yes. Public's AI Agents let you automate prediction market strategies using rules you define in plain English. Create an Agent to monitor the odds for Miguel Díaz-Canel departure announced? and take supported actions when your conditions are met. Since prediction markets trade 24/7, your Agent can monitor opportunities around the clock. You can also connect Public to your preferred AI model through MCP, including ChatGPT, Claude, Perplexity, Grok, and Muse.

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  3. 3

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  4. 4

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Miguel Díaz-Canel departure announced?

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Event estimated to resolve on the estimated date at 10:00AM. These probabilities are based on what other investors recently paid for Yes and No positions.


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