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Elections

Prior offices of the President inaugurated in 2029?

U.S. Senator55¢55%
Governor30¢30%
Vice President22¢22%
$591.20 Vol.

Event estimated to resolve on . These probabilities are based on what other investors recently paid for Yes and No positions.

About

If U.S. Senator is an office previously held by the first person inaugurated as President for the term beginning January 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes. This must be confirmed, verified, or established as factual by at least one Source Agency. Each market resolves independently and more than one can resolve YES. If the person has held none of the offices listed, every market resolves NO. "Previously held" means the person was sworn in and served in the office at any time before January 20, 2029. Any length of service counts, and it does not matter whether the person reached the office through election, appointment or succession. A person who was elected or appointed but never sworn in did NOT hold the office. What each office means: President: President of the United States. Serving as Acting President under Section 3 of the 25th Amendment does NOT count. Vice President: Vice President of the United States. U.S. Senator: a United States Senator. A state senator does NOT count. U.S. Representative: a voting member of the United States House of Representatives. A state representative, a territorial Delegate and the Resident Commissioner of Puerto Rico do NOT count. Governor: Governor of one of the 50 states or of a United States territory, including a person who succeeded to the office. A Lieutenant Governor temporarily discharging the Governor's duties does NOT count. Mayor: Mayor of any incorporated municipality in the United States, of any population, including in an acting or interim capacity. A city council or county governing board office does NOT count. Cabinet Secretary: a Senate-confirmed head of one of the 15 executive departments, including the Attorney General. An acting head does NOT count, and neither does a Cabinet-rank official who does not head an executive department, such as the U.S. Trade Representative or the Director of National Intelligence. State Legislator: a member of either chamber of the legislature of one of the 50 states.

  • Full contract termsView
  • SourceABC News, Associated Press, Axios, Bloomberg News, CBS News, CNN, Fox News, MSNBC, NBC News, Politico, Reuters, Semafor, The Information, The Wall Street Journal, The Washington Post, the New York Times
  • Est. resolution date
  • Total event volume$591.20
  • Timeline

    The market will close and expire early if the event occurs. Otherwise, it closes by .

    1. Event open
    2. Event closed
    3. Projected payout
  • Insider trading is prohibited

    The following are prohibited from trading this contract:

    • Current players, coaches, and staff of the league, association, or organization(s) governing the event. For college leagues/associations specifically, or where otherwise appropriate (as identified by the Exchange), this applies to current players/coaches/staff of the specific sport in <event> rather than the league/association as a whole (e.g., if the Division I Gonzaga Men’s Basketball Team is playing in <event>, this prohibition will restrict trades by current players/coaches/staff on NCAA Basketball, rather than all current players/coaches/staff in any NCAA sport).
    • Paid employees of the league and league participants
    • Owners of teams and the league
    • and household members and immediate family of all above
    • Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
    • Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.

Trade Yes contracts

  • Vice President
    Volume$414.00
    Price30¢
    -15.38% today
  • U.S. Senator
    Volume$82.90
    Price56¢
    +5.77% today
  • Governor
    Volume$74.00
    Price31¢
    +15.38% today
  • U.S. Representative
    Volume$20.30
    Price20¢
    +25.00% today
  • Cabinet Secretary
    Volume$0.00
    Price30¢
    -100.00% today
  • Mayor
    Volume$0.00
    Price20¢
    -100.00% today
  • President
    Volume$0.00
    Price7¢
    -100.00% today
  • State Legislator
    Volume$0.00
    Price25¢
    -100.00% today

Trade No contracts

  • Vice President
    Volume$414.00
    Price78¢
    +5.41% today
  • U.S. Senator
    Volume$82.90
    Price52¢
    -6.25% today
  • Governor
    Volume$74.00
    Price78¢
    -5.41% today
  • U.S. Representative
    Volume$20.30
    Price89¢
    -4.76% today
  • Cabinet Secretary
    Volume$0.00
    Price79¢
    +35.14% today
  • Mayor
    Volume$0.00
    Price89¢
    +19.05% today
  • President
    Volume$0.00
    Price99¢
    +4.17% today
  • State Legislator
    Volume$0.00
    Price84¢
    +25.00% today

FAQ

Frequently asked questions

Public shows live market-implied probabilities, contract prices, and trading volume for Prior offices of the President inaugurated in 2029?. The leading outcome is U.S. Senator, with an estimated probability of 55% and a Yes contract price of $0.56. Odds can change as traders buy and sell event contracts.

On Public, you can buy and sell event contracts for Prior offices of the President inaugurated in 2029? by choosing from the available outcomes. Compare live odds, probabilities, prices, and trading volume before making a trade. You can manage prediction markets alongside stocks, options, bonds, and crypto on Public.

Each event contract represents an outcome for Prior offices of the President inaugurated in 2029?. On Public, you can take a Yes or No position based on whether you think that outcome will occur. Contract prices reflect market-implied probabilities and can change as the market trades.

The estimated resolution date for Prior offices of the President inaugurated in 2029? is Feb 1, 2029. The prediction market will resolve according to its contract terms using ABC News, Associated Press, Axios, Bloomberg News, CBS News, CNN, Fox News, MSNBC, NBC News, Politico, Reuters, Semafor, The Information, The Wall Street Journal, The Washington Post, the New York Times as the designated source. See the full contract terms on Public for the specific resolution criteria.

Yes. Public's AI Agents let you automate prediction market strategies using rules you define in plain English. Create an Agent to monitor the odds for Prior offices of the President inaugurated in 2029? and take supported actions when your conditions are met. Since prediction markets trade 24/7, your Agent can monitor opportunities around the clock. You can also connect Public to your preferred AI model through MCP, including ChatGPT, Claude, Perplexity, Grok, and Muse.

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  2. 2

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  3. 3

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Live odds on Prior offices of the President inaugurated in 2029?

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Prior offices of the President inaugurated in 2029?

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Event estimated to resolve on at 10:00AM. These probabilities are based on what other investors recently paid for Yes and No positions.


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