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Elections

2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?

J.D. Vance19¢19%
Gavin Newsom12¢12%
Marco Rubio10¢10%
$152,841,231.04 Vol.

Event estimated to resolve on . These probabilities are based on what other investors recently paid for Yes and No positions.

About

If J.D. Vance is the next person inaugurated as President for the term beginning in 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.

  • Full contract termsView
  • SourceOffice of the Presidency
  • Est. resolution date
  • Total event volume$152,841,231.04
  • Timeline

    The market will close and expire early if the event occurs. Otherwise, it closes by .

    1. Event open
    2. Event closed
    3. Projected payout
  • Insider trading is prohibited

    The following are prohibited from trading this contract:

    • Holders of federal and statewide public office.
    • Paid campaign staffers on Presidential campaigns.
    • Anyone working in a vote-tallying capacity, or who has the potential ability to observe official vote counts before they are public.
    • Third-party vendors and contractors (and employees thereof) of Presidential campaigns.
    • Paid employees of Democratic and Republican Party organizations, such as the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee or the Republican National Committee.
    • Paid employees of Political Action Committees (PACs) and “Super PACs” (independent expenditure only political committees).
    • Paid employees of major polling organizations. This prohibition does not apply to all employees of an organization that contains a polling division (e.g. the prohibition does not apply to all employees of Quinnipiac University despite the presence of Quinnipiac University’s polling division). The Exchange shall determine which polling organizations constitute “major” and may modify that determination at any time, and will post publicly a list of those organizations on its website
    • Employees of Decision Desks at major media organizations (including, but not necessarily exclusive to, Fox News, ABC News, AP, CNN, CBS News, Decision Desk HQ and NBC News). The Exchange shall determine which media organizations constitute “major” and may modify that determination at any time, and will post publicly a list of those organizations on its website.
    • All Electors who may cast ballots in connection with the determination of the President and/or Vice-President of the United States
    • All staff of the U.S. House of Representatives and its members
    • All staff of the U.S. Senate and its members.
    • All staff of the Office of the President of the United States
    • All staff of the Office of the Vice President of the United States
    • All staff of the U.S. Supreme Court and its Justices
    • Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
    • Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
    • Any candidate currently listed as a market within this event

Trade Yes contracts

  • Marco Rubio
    Volume$11,676,477.70
    Price10¢
    0.00% today
  • Gavin Newsom
    Volume$9,607,035.94
    Price11¢
    +20.00% today
  • Jon Ossoff
    Volume$9,574,760.88
    Price9.2¢
    -3.33% today
  • J.D. Vance
    Volume$9,176,561.92
    Price21¢
    -5.00% today
  • Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
    Volume$9,001,634.20
    Price9.2¢
    +3.33% today
  • Donald J. Trump
    Volume$7,958,885.50
    Price2.6¢
    -16.67% today
  • Kamala Harris
    Volume$6,112,469.02
    Price3.8¢
    -5.00% today
  • Tucker Carlson
    Volume$6,051,227.24
    Price0.9¢
    -10.00% today
  • Donald J. Trump Jr.
    Volume$5,942,898.00
    Price0.9¢
    -30.00% today
  • J.B. Pritzker
    Volume$5,779,613.96
    Price1.6¢
    +60.00% today

Trade No contracts

  • Marco Rubio
    Volume$11,676,477.70
    Price90.4¢
    0.00% today
  • Gavin Newsom
    Volume$9,607,035.94
    Price90¢
    -2.22% today
  • Jon Ossoff
    Volume$9,574,760.88
    Price91.3¢
    +0.33% today
  • J.D. Vance
    Volume$9,176,561.92
    Price81¢
    +1.25% today
  • Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
    Volume$9,001,634.20
    Price90.9¢
    -0.33% today
  • Donald J. Trump
    Volume$7,958,885.50
    Price97.5¢
    +0.52% today
  • Kamala Harris
    Volume$6,112,469.02
    Price96.4¢
    +0.21% today
  • Tucker Carlson
    Volume$6,051,227.24
    Price99.2¢
    +0.10% today
  • Donald J. Trump Jr.
    Volume$5,942,898.00
    Price99.3¢
    +0.30% today
  • J.B. Pritzker
    Volume$5,779,613.96
    Price98.7¢
    -0.61% today

FAQ

Frequently asked questions

Public shows live market-implied probabilities, contract prices, and trading volume for 2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?. The leading outcome is J.D. Vance, with an estimated probability of 19% and a Yes contract price of $0.21. Odds can change as traders buy and sell event contracts.

On Public, you can buy and sell event contracts for 2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner? by choosing from the available outcomes. Compare live odds, probabilities, prices, and trading volume before making a trade. You can manage prediction markets alongside stocks, options, bonds, and crypto on Public.

Each event contract represents an outcome for 2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?. On Public, you can take a Yes or No position based on whether you think that outcome will occur. Contract prices reflect market-implied probabilities and can change as the market trades.

The estimated resolution date for 2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner? is Nov 7, 2029. The prediction market will resolve according to its contract terms using Office of the Presidency as the designated source. See the full contract terms on Public for the specific resolution criteria.

Yes. Public's AI Agents let you automate prediction market strategies using rules you define in plain English. Create an Agent to monitor the odds for 2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner? and take supported actions when your conditions are met. Since prediction markets trade 24/7, your Agent can monitor opportunities around the clock. You can also connect Public to your preferred AI model through MCP, including ChatGPT, Claude, Perplexity, Grok, and Muse.

How to trade the odds on 2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?

  1. 1

    Create a Public account

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  2. 2

    Fund your account

    Securely link your bank account to deposit funds. Depending on eligibility, you may unlock up to $250,000 in instant buying power right away.

  3. 3

    Buy and sell event contracts

    Explore Prediction Markets from the Invest menu or search Public for 2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?. Review the latest odds and probabilities, then buy or sell event contracts based on your view.

  4. 4

    Manage your portfolio

    Track your prediction market positions alongside stocks, options, bonds, and crypto. Plus, create AI Agents for investing and connect your portfolio through MCP to AI models like ChatGPT, Claude, Perplexity, Grok, and Muse.

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Live odds on 2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?

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2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?

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Event estimated to resolve on at 10:00AM. These probabilities are based on what other investors recently paid for Yes and No positions.


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