iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF

TLT tracks a market-weighted index of debt issued by the US Treasury with remaining maturities of 20 years or more.

Global X MSCI Colombia ETF

SPDR S&P Biotech ETF

The global economy faces significant uncertainty. High-interest rates, persistent inflation and geopolitical crises all threaten to roil financial markets.

Don't Miss the Boom: 3 ETFs Set to Explode Higher

Upstart Holdings

Workiva

We're all too familiar with this month's catchphrase – “higher for longer.” The Fed's promise to keep rates up through (potentially) 2026 spooked investors, and markets reacted accordingly.

3 Stocks Hit Hardest by the Fed's ‘Higher for Longer' Stance

United States Brent Oil Fund LP

Invesco DB Oil Fund

Vanguard Extended Duration Treasury ETF

Simplify Interest Rate Hedge ETF

United States 12 Month Oil Fund LP

United States Oil Fund LP

Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bullish Fund

Valkyrie Bitcoin Miners ETF

PIMCO 25+ Year Zero Coupon US Treasury Index ETF

We discuss some of the hot events of the first nine months of this year that influenced the market in a big way.

Vanguard Total Bond Market ETF

iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF

iShares Edge MSCI Min Vol Emerging Markets ETF

iShares MSCI USA ESG Optimized ETF

iShares Core S&P 500 ETF

iShares MSCI USA Quality Factor ETF

Vanguard S&P 500 ETF

Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF

Wall Street has been upbeat in the year-to-date frame as current stress in the market has been outweighed by superb gains in the first half.

ETF Asset Report YTD: S&P 500 Tops, ESG Loses

One of the most heavily-traded exchange-traded funds tracking performance in the U.S. Treasury market has just fallen to its lowest level in more than 12 years.

Popular Treasury bond ETF crashes to lowest level in more than 12 years as yields surge

As central banks shrink their huge bond portfolios, long-term rates should move higher. QT could continue for another year and a half.

The Continuation Of The Quantitative Tightening Is Pushing Long-Term Rates Higher

iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF

iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF

The yield on the 10-year note ended September 22, 2023 at 4.44%, the 2-year note ended at 5.10%, and the 30-year at 4.53%. Here is a table showing the yields' highs and lows and the FFR since 2007.

Treasury Yields Snapshot: September 22, 2023

iShares TIPS Bond ETF

Better bargains await in T-bills, REITs, BDCs, and energy stocks.

Treasury Yields Are Up. But That Doesn't Make Bonds a Buy.

iShares 0-3 Month Treasury Bond ETF

iShares 10-20 Year Treasury Bond ETF

Vanguard Long-Term Treasury ETF

Exchange-traded funds that invest in long-term Treasury bonds are dropping Thursday, as yields continued their march higher in the wake of the Federal Reserve's meeting on monetary policy.

ETFs that buy long-term Treasury bonds drop sharply after Fed signals higher for longer rates

Today, investors are showing an extraordinary amount of interest in the iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (NASDAQ: TLT ). This exchange-traded fund that tracks long-term government bonds has seen an outsized move, sinking more than 2% in early afternoon trading.

Treasury Alert: Why Is the TLT ETF Down Today?

Invesco Senior Loan ETF

SPDR Bloomberg Investment Grade Floating Rate ETF

iShares 3-7 Year Treasury Bond ETF

SPDR Bloomberg High Yield Bond ETF

iShares Short Treasury Bond ETF

SPDR Bloomberg Short Term High Yield Bond ETF

iShares 0-5 Year TIPS Bond ETF

Vanguard Intermediate-Term Corporate Bond ETF

Vanguard Long-Term Corporate Bond ETF

Vanguard Short-Term Corporate Bond ETF

Fixed-income investors looking for interest rate cuts from the Federal Reserve are still waiting, but that hasn't stopped low-rated bonds from posting strong gains in 2023. Bond investors hoping for encouraging signals from the Federal Reserve that its policy of raising interest rates was ending received mixed news yesterday.

Bank Loans And Junk Bonds Are Having A Good Year

The iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT) stock price has been in a steep sell-off this year, even as inflows have risen. The stock was trading at $92.92 on Wednesday as investors waited for the upcoming Fed decision.

iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond (TLT) ETF: Plot thickens ahead of Fed

Long-term inflation expectations have risen alongside the recovery in risk appetite, despite falling headline CPI, which has helped drive up long-term bond yields. The rise in bond yields combined with extreme equity valuations and a weakening real economy posing a risk of market panic and a sharp drop in inflation expectations. Even if this is avoided, the TLT's yield of 4.5% is already historically high in real terms and likely to post strong real returns over the coming years.

TLT: Deflation Is Still Risk And Bonds Are Cheap

Invesco QQQ

Direxion NASDAQ-100 Equal Weighted Index Shares

Invesco Nasdaq 100 ETF

WisdomTree Bloomberg Floating Rate Treasury Fund

On this episode of ETF Prime, host Nate Geraci speaks with a pair of individuals discussing several different ETF-related topics. His guests include VettaFi's Lara Crigger, who goes in-depth on a plethora of subjects including spot Ethereum ETF filings, fixed income ETF flows, and more.

ETF Prime: Crigger on Spot Ethereum ETF Filings, Plus Franklin Templeton's Approach

Vanguard Intermediate-Term Treasury ETF

Morgan Stanley has taken a contrarian stance in the market, challenging bearish views on Treasury bonds.

Should You Buy Treasury ETFs Following Morgan Stanley?

The yield on the 10-year note ended September 8, 2023 at 4.26%, the 2-year note ended at 4.90%, and the 30-year at 4.33%. Here is a table showing the yields' highs and lows and the FFR since 2007.

Treasury Yields Snapshot: September 8, 2023

Yields on bonds have risen significantly in recent years, with even short-term Treasury bonds yielding over 5.5%. The inverse relationship between bond prices and yields means that as interest rates rise, bond prices fall. The performance of bond ETFs in a rising rate environment varies depending on the duration of the bonds, with longer-term bonds experiencing greater mark to market losses.

Who Said Bonds Were Boring?

iShares Core U.S. Aggregate Bond ETF

Long-duration bonds are great winners after the Fed's pause, based on historical evidence from the latest cycles. The outcome is different for soft or hard lending; however, both narratives tend to be bullish for bonds in the very first months after a Fed pause or cycle end. Nominal yields had been driven by the increase in real yields as a result of "higher for longer" mantra and the resilient economy, which is probably not so resilient.

AGG And TLT: Real Yields Near ATH Reveal The Opportunity

The current economy simply cannot perform under such rates for long in my view. Regional banking is still facing troubles as is the real estate market. Japan is the main region where something could easily break.

TLT: Why 'Higher For Longer' Is A Myth, Time To Get Bullish On Treasuries

Even using conservative interest rate assumptions and aggressive stock market expected returns, long-term treasuries have a higher expected return and lower risk compared to the stock market. Bond math dictates that long-term treasury returns are asymmetrically positive when the potential upside and downside moves of interest rates are assumed to be the same. History, the inflation mandate of the Federal Reserve, and the potential contraction of private credit suggest that interest rates have a higher probability of decreasing than increasing.

TLT: Forecast Using Conservative Interest Rate Assumptions

Treasury bonds appear ready to break beneath their previous low, but the larger pattern suggests price is seeking a platform to support a bounce. This should provide both short and long opportunities for traders working on time frames ranging from days to months.

Treasury Bonds ETF $TLT Nears Buying Opportunity (Elliott wave analysis)

Note: We've updated this commentary with data through the August 25th market close. The yield on the 10-year note ended August 25, 2023 at 4.25%, the 2-year note ended at 5.03%, and the 30-year at 4.30%.

Treasury Yields Snapshot: August 25, 2023

A mortgage rate surge is not a phenomenon that consumers and the broader stock market can overlook indefinitely. Homebuilder stocks are starting to turn, suggesting that the time for the broader market to care about housing might be right here, and right now.

Rising Mortgage Rates Send a BIG Warning for the Stock and Housing Market

Strong headwinds remain for bonds as the battle against inflation rages on. Clear technical levels are evident on the TLT chart from the past for prospective positioning of trade opportunities. Persisting issues with inflation will presumably keep the bonds market in the news for some time in the foreseeable future.

TLT: A Bearish Barrier Amidst Upcoming Interest Rate Hike Decisions

Axon Enterprise

Celsius Holdings

PepsiCo

August is traditionally a weak month for the markets, and this August has been no different, with a pullback in both stocks and bonds. Macroeconomic factors have driven the selloff, with rising interest rates impacting stock prices, especially in growth sectors. Despite market conditions, there are opportunities for growth-oriented investors, such as Celsius Holdings and Axon Enterprises, which show strong revenue growth and profitability.

News for iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF ETF (TLT)