Riskified Ltd (RSKD) Stock Forecast & Price Target

Riskified Ltd has demonstrated a positive financial trajectory with a reported GMV growth of 8.9% year-over-year, reaching $37.8 billion, surpassing previous expectations. The company has also raised its revenue guidance for 2025, with estimates now ranging between $336 million and $346 million, reflecting enhanced performance in key segments such as Money Transfer and Payments, which saw a remarkable 90% year-over-year growth. Additionally, international traction, particularly in the APAC and EMEA regions, has strengthened, with growth rates of 40% and 23% year-over-year, respectively, showcasing Riskified's potential for continued expansion in the eCommerce risk management space.

Riskified Ltd faces significant growth headwinds due to a slowdown in the macroeconomy and high customer churn, as a considerable portion of its revenue still depends on a limited number of merchants. The company's GAAP EPS loss of -$0.07 suggests ongoing financial struggles, which could be exacerbated by an intensely competitive fraud prevention market where failure to win new business or retain existing subscriptions is a risk. Additionally, the slowdown in the fashion and luxury sector, along with potential mismanagement of chargebacks, poses further threats to Riskified's financial stability and profitability.