
PFSI Stock Forecast & Price Target
PFSI Analyst Ratings
Bulls say
PennyMac Financial Services Inc. demonstrated a strong operational performance, with gain on sale margins improving by 26 basis points to 0.84%, surpassing previous estimates, which indicates a positive shift towards higher-margin direct lending channels. Additionally, the company's origination volumes increased by 16% quarter-over-quarter to $42.2 billion, reflecting robust consumer demand and contributing to enhanced production earnings. Furthermore, the management's expectation of improved volume for the fourth quarter suggests a strategic path forward to capitalize on market opportunities, reinforcing positive sentiment around the company’s financial trajectory.
Bears say
PennyMac Financial Services Inc. has experienced a decline in origination volumes, which fell 4% quarter-over-quarter to $36.5 billion, missing estimates and indicating potential weakness in demand. The company's operating return on equity (ROE) decreased significantly to 10% from 18%, with expectations for future ROEs only projected to return to low double-digits in the coming years; this decline reflects profitability concerns in a competitive market. Additionally, servicing income has substantially decreased, with servicing fees down to $149 million and pretax earnings well below estimations, signaling challenges in maintaining revenue amid rising prepay speeds and diminished margins.
This aggregate rating is based on analysts' research of PennyMac Financial Services and is not a guaranteed prediction by Public.com or investment advice.
PFSI Analyst Forecast & Price Prediction
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