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Politics

Which agencies will Trump eliminate?

USAID19¢19%
EPA12¢12%
NASA8.3¢8%
$400,927.50 Vol.

Event estimated to resolve on . These probabilities are based on what other investors recently paid for Yes and No positions.

About

If USAID is eliminated before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes. Eliminating all funding also satisfies the Payout Criterion, as does merging its authorities with another agency, though merely altering its authorities without changing its name, or other alterations is not sufficient to be encompassed. Clarification (3/3/26): While the Consolidated Appropriations Act, 2026 reflects the reorganization of USAID functions into the State Department, it continues to appropriate funds for the USAID Office of Inspector General, which remains operational under that title. Because funding has not fully ended for all entities operating under the USAID name, this market will not resolve to Yes at this time.

  • Full contract termsView
  • SourceLibrary of Congress, The New York Times
  • Est. resolution date
  • Total event volume$400,927.50
  • Timeline

    The market will close and expire early if the event occurs. Otherwise, it closes by .

    1. Event open
    2. Event closed
    3. Projected payout
  • Insider trading is prohibited

    The following are prohibited from trading this contract:

    • Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
    • Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.

Trade Yes contracts

  • USAID
    Volume$309,790.30
    Price18¢
    +18.75% today
  • IRS
    Volume$68,315.30
    Price9.6¢
    -12.86% today
  • EPA
    Volume$18,441.20
    Price12¢
    +9.09% today
  • NASA
    Volume$4,380.70
    Price7.2¢
    +66.00% today

Trade No contracts

  • USAID
    Volume$309,790.30
    Price83¢
    -3.57% today
  • IRS
    Volume$68,315.30
    Price93.9¢
    +0.97% today
  • EPA
    Volume$18,441.20
    Price90.3¢
    -1.12% today
  • NASA
    Volume$4,380.70
    Price97.9¢
    -3.47% today

FAQ

Frequently asked questions

Public shows live market-implied probabilities, contract prices, and trading volume for Which agencies will Trump eliminate?. The leading outcome is USAID, with an estimated probability of 19% and a Yes contract price of $0.18. Odds can change as traders buy and sell event contracts.

On Public, you can buy and sell event contracts for Which agencies will Trump eliminate? by choosing from the available outcomes. Compare live odds, probabilities, prices, and trading volume before making a trade. You can manage prediction markets alongside stocks, options, bonds, and crypto on Public.

Each event contract represents an outcome for Which agencies will Trump eliminate?. On Public, you can take a Yes or No position based on whether you think that outcome will occur. Contract prices reflect market-implied probabilities and can change as the market trades.

The estimated resolution date for Which agencies will Trump eliminate? is Jan 20, 2029. The prediction market will resolve according to its contract terms using Library of Congress, The New York Times as the designated source. See the full contract terms on Public for the specific resolution criteria.

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Which agencies will Trump eliminate?

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Event estimated to resolve on at 10:00AM. These probabilities are based on what other investors recently paid for Yes and No positions.


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