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  4. What will the peak RONI value be during the 2026-27 El Niño season?
Climate and Weather

What will the peak RONI value be during the 2026-27 El Niño season?

2.5°C to 2.9°C69¢69%
At least 3.0°C30¢30%
2.0°C to 2.4°C4¢4%
$272,192.20 Vol.

Event estimated to resolve on . These probabilities are based on what other investors recently paid for Yes and No positions.

About

If the peak RONI value during the 2026-27 El Niño season is between 2.5 and 2.9°C, then the market resolves to Yes. The peak RONI value is determined solely from values published in the NOAA CPC official RONI table that are designated as final (non-preliminary). For La Niña contracts, the peak RONI value refers to the single most negative (i.e., lowest) RONI value. The latest Expiration Date shall be one week after the Source Agency publishes the final RONI value for the last three-month period falling within the time period. However, if the peak RONI value necessary to determine the Market Outcome can be conclusively established prior to that date (e.g., the season has formally ended and all relevant values are final), expiration may be moved to an earlier date and time.

  • Full contract termsView
  • Source San Francisco Unified School District
  • Est. resolution date
  • Total event volume$272,192.20
  • Timeline

    The market will close and expire early if the event occurs. Otherwise, it closes by .

    1. Event open
    2. Event closed
    3. Projected payout
  • Insider trading is prohibited

    The following are prohibited from trading this contract:

    • Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
    • Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.

Trade Yes contracts

  • At least 3.0°C
    Volume$104,160.50
    Price29¢
    -25.00% today
  • 2.5°C to 2.9°C
    Volume$91,041.16
    Price70¢
    +23.21% today
  • 2.0°C to 2.4°C
    Volume$57,263.30
    Price5¢
    0.00% today
  • 1.5°C to 1.9°C
    Volume$12,481.24
    Price2¢
    -50.00% today
  • Below 1.5°C
    Volume$7,246.00
    Price2¢
    -50.00% today

Trade No contracts

  • At least 3.0°C
    Volume$104,160.50
    Price73¢
    +16.67% today
  • 2.5°C to 2.9°C
    Volume$91,041.16
    Price31¢
    -29.55% today
  • 2.0°C to 2.4°C
    Volume$57,263.30
    Price96¢
    0.00% today
  • 1.5°C to 1.9°C
    Volume$12,481.24
    Price99¢
    +1.02% today
  • Below 1.5°C
    Volume$7,246.00
    Price99¢
    +1.02% today

FAQ

Frequently asked questions

Public shows live market-implied probabilities, contract prices, and trading volume for What will the peak RONI value be during the 2026-27 El Niño season?. The leading outcome is 2.5°C to 2.9°C, with an estimated probability of 69% and a Yes contract price of $0.70. Odds can change as traders buy and sell event contracts.

On Public, you can buy and sell event contracts for What will the peak RONI value be during the 2026-27 El Niño season? by choosing from the available outcomes. Compare live odds, probabilities, prices, and trading volume before making a trade. You can manage prediction markets alongside stocks, options, bonds, and crypto on Public.

Each event contract represents an outcome for What will the peak RONI value be during the 2026-27 El Niño season?. On Public, you can take a Yes or No position based on whether you think that outcome will occur. Contract prices reflect market-implied probabilities and can change as the market trades.

The estimated resolution date for What will the peak RONI value be during the 2026-27 El Niño season? is Aug 15, 2027. The prediction market will resolve according to its contract terms using San Francisco Unified School District as the designated source. See the full contract terms on Public for the specific resolution criteria.

Yes. Public's AI Agents let you automate prediction market strategies using rules you define in plain English. Create an Agent to monitor the odds for What will the peak RONI value be during the 2026-27 El Niño season? and take supported actions when your conditions are met. Since prediction markets trade 24/7, your Agent can monitor opportunities around the clock. You can also connect Public to your preferred AI model through MCP, including ChatGPT, Claude, Perplexity, Grok, and Muse.

How to trade the odds on What will the peak RONI value be during the 2026-27 El Niño season?

  1. 1

    Create a Public account

    Sign up on Public.com or download the Public app for iOS or Android. Complete your profile in minutes, then explore live odds and probabilities across prediction markets.

  2. 2

    Fund your account

    Securely link your bank account to deposit funds. Depending on eligibility, you may unlock up to $250,000 in instant buying power right away.

  3. 3

    Buy and sell event contracts

    Explore Prediction Markets from the Invest menu or search Public for What will the peak RONI value be during the 2026-27 El Niño season?. Review the latest odds and probabilities, then buy or sell event contracts based on your view.

  4. 4

    Manage your portfolio

    Track your prediction market positions alongside stocks, options, bonds, and crypto. Plus, create AI Agents for investing and connect your portfolio through MCP to AI models like ChatGPT, Claude, Perplexity, Grok, and Muse.

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Live odds on What will the peak RONI value be during the 2026-27 El Niño season?

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What will the peak RONI value be during the 2026-27 El Niño season?

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Event estimated to resolve on at 10:00AM. These probabilities are based on what other investors recently paid for Yes and No positions.


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