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  4. Will Hurricane Isaias cross Alabama before Dec 31, 2026?
Climate and Weather

Will Hurricane Isaias cross Alabama before Dec 31, 2026?

Yes1¢1%
No99¢99%
$156,068.10 Vol.

Event estimated to resolve on . These probabilities are based on what other investors recently paid for Yes and No positions.

About

If, after this market is issued and before 12:00 AM EST on December 31, 2026, the 2026 named storm Isaias has an official National Hurricane Center track segment that intersects with or terminates within the defined Alabama boundary, where both consecutive advisories report sustained winds of at least 74 mph, the advisories are issued no more than 12 hours apart, and both contain latitude/longitude coordinates rounded to the nearest 0.1 degree, then the market resolves to Yes. A track segment is the straight line connecting the storm positions in two consecutive official National Hurricane Center public or forecast advisories. A segment qualifies if any part of that line passes through the defined region, or either coordinate point lies within it. The region is the Alabama feature (STATEFP 01, STUSPS AL) in the US Census Bureau 2025 cartographic boundary state shapefile at 1:500,000 scale: https://www2.census.gov/geo/tiger/GENZ2025/shp/cb2025usstate500k.zip . This is a track-intersection test; a coastal landfall in Alabama is not required. The named storm is Isaias in the 2026 season; the cutoff is the stated calendar date, not the end of the usual hurricane season. Unofficial coordinates and post-storm analyses do not establish a qualifying track segment, and revisions after expiration are disregarded. Trading closes December 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM EST. The latest expiration is January 7, 2027 at 10:00 AM EST; expiration may move earlier after a qualifying occurrence in accordance with Rule 7.2. Settlement is no later than the day after expiration unless the outcome is under review pursuant to Rule 7.1. The HURPATH outcome-review and indeterminacy provisions remain applicable.

Trade Yes and No contracts

  • Yes
    Volume$156,068.10
    Price4¢
    -50.00% today
  • No
    Volume$156,068.10
    Price99¢
    +1.02% today

FAQ

Frequently asked questions

Public shows live market-implied probabilities, contract prices, and trading volume for Will Hurricane Isaias cross Alabama before Dec 31, 2026?. The outcome is Before Dec 31, 2026, with an estimated probability of 1% and a Yes contract price of $0.04. Odds can change as traders buy and sell event contracts.

On Public, you can buy and sell event contracts for Will Hurricane Isaias cross Alabama before Dec 31, 2026? by choosing from the available outcomes. Compare live odds, probabilities, prices, and trading volume before making a trade. You can manage prediction markets alongside stocks, options, bonds, and crypto on Public.

Each event contract represents an outcome for Will Hurricane Isaias cross Alabama before Dec 31, 2026?. On Public, you can take a Yes or No position based on whether you think that outcome will occur. Contract prices reflect market-implied probabilities and can change as the market trades.

The estimated resolution date for Will Hurricane Isaias cross Alabama before Dec 31, 2026? is Dec 31, 2026. The prediction market will resolve according to its contract terms using AccuWeather, Associated Press, Bloomberg News, CNN Weather, NBC, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, National Weather Service, Reuters, The New York Times, The Wall Street Journal, The Washington Post, The Weather Channel, the National Hurricane Center as the designated source. See the full contract terms on Public for the specific resolution criteria.

Yes. Public's AI Agents let you automate prediction market strategies using rules you define in plain English. Create an Agent to monitor the odds for Will Hurricane Isaias cross Alabama before Dec 31, 2026? and take supported actions when your conditions are met. Since prediction markets trade 24/7, your Agent can monitor opportunities around the clock. You can also connect Public to your preferred AI model through MCP, including ChatGPT, Claude, Perplexity, Grok, and Muse.

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  4. 4

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Will Hurricane Isaias cross Alabama before Dec 31, 2026?

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Event estimated to resolve on at 10:00AM. These probabilities are based on what other investors recently paid for Yes and No positions.


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Trading event contracts involves significant risk and is not appropriate for all investors. Before investing, please read our Event Contracts Risk Disclosure and carefully consider your financial situation, investment objectives, and risk tolerance. Live data is for informational purposes only and may be delayed or incorrect.


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