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  4. Will a hurricane make landfall in Hawaii in 2026?
Climate and Weather

Will a hurricane make landfall in Hawaii in 2026?

Yes4¢4%
No96¢96%
$347,834.98 Vol.

Event estimated to resolve on . These probabilities are based on what other investors recently paid for Yes and No positions.

About

If a 74 mph or higher hurricane makes landfall in Hawaii during the 2026 hurricane season, then the market resolves to Yes. This market encompasses the primary southeastern islands of the state of Hawaii. Those islands are: Niʻihau, Kauaʻi, Oʻahu, Molokaʻi, Lānaʻi, Kahoʻolawe, Maui, and the island of Hawai'i. It does not include the Midway Atoll, nor the Northwestern Islands, also known as the Leeward Hawaiian Islands.

Trade Yes and No contracts

  • Yes
    Volume$347,834.98
    Price4¢
    +33.33% today
  • No
    Volume$347,834.98
    Price97¢
    -1.03% today

FAQ

Frequently asked questions

Public shows live market-implied probabilities, contract prices, and trading volume for Will a hurricane make landfall in Hawaii in 2026?. The outcome is Before 2027, with an estimated probability of 4% and a Yes contract price of $0.04. Odds can change as traders buy and sell event contracts.

On Public, you can buy and sell event contracts for Will a hurricane make landfall in Hawaii in 2026? by choosing from the available outcomes. Compare live odds, probabilities, prices, and trading volume before making a trade. You can manage prediction markets alongside stocks, options, bonds, and crypto on Public.

Each event contract represents an outcome for Will a hurricane make landfall in Hawaii in 2026?. On Public, you can take a Yes or No position based on whether you think that outcome will occur. Contract prices reflect market-implied probabilities and can change as the market trades.

The estimated resolution date for Will a hurricane make landfall in Hawaii in 2026? is Jan 1, 2027. The prediction market will resolve according to its contract terms using AccuWeather, Associated Press, Bloomberg News, CNN Weather, NBC, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, National Weather Service, Reuters, The New York Times, The Wall Street Journal, The Washington Post, The Weather Channel, the National Hurricane Center as the designated source. See the full contract terms on Public for the specific resolution criteria.

Yes. Public's AI Agents let you automate prediction market strategies using rules you define in plain English. Create an Agent to monitor the odds for Will a hurricane make landfall in Hawaii in 2026? and take supported actions when your conditions are met. Since prediction markets trade 24/7, your Agent can monitor opportunities around the clock. You can also connect Public to your preferred AI model through MCP, including ChatGPT, Claude, Perplexity, Grok, and Muse.

How to trade the odds on Will a hurricane make landfall in Hawaii in 2026?

  1. 1

    Create a Public account

    Sign up on Public.com or download the Public app for iOS or Android. Complete your profile in minutes, then explore live odds and probabilities across prediction markets.

  2. 2

    Fund your account

    Securely link your bank account to deposit funds. Depending on eligibility, you may unlock up to $250,000 in instant buying power right away.

  3. 3

    Buy and sell event contracts

    Explore Prediction Markets from the Invest menu or search Public for Will a hurricane make landfall in Hawaii in 2026?. Review the latest odds and probabilities, then buy or sell event contracts based on your view.

  4. 4

    Manage your portfolio

    Track your prediction market positions alongside stocks, options, bonds, and crypto. Plus, create AI Agents for investing and connect your portfolio through MCP to AI models like ChatGPT, Claude, Perplexity, Grok, and Muse.

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Live odds on Will a hurricane make landfall in Hawaii in 2026?

Track live odds and trade event contracts inside a multi-asset portfolio on Public. Plus, create AI Agents for your prediction market strategies.

Will a hurricane make landfall in Hawaii in 2026?

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Prediction Markets Glossary

Learn more

Event estimated to resolve on at 10:00AM. These probabilities are based on what other investors recently paid for Yes and No positions.


Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply.


Trading event contracts involves significant risk and is not appropriate for all investors. Before investing, please read our Event Contracts Risk Disclosure and carefully consider your financial situation, investment objectives, and risk tolerance. Live data is for informational purposes only and may be delayed or incorrect.


Event contracts offered by Open to the Public Investing, Inc. and Apex Clearing Corp. through KalshiEX LLC.

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