US 30Y Treasury yield at 1:15pm ET · 10Y Treasury auction
Resolved
This prediction market has resolved and is no longer available to trade.
Final contract prices and probabilities
These probabilities are based on what other investors recently paid for Yes and No positions.
About
If the Pyth security yield for the 30-Year U.S. Treasury Bond is above 4.99% at Nov 10, 2026 at 1:15pm ET, the market resolves to Yes. Settlement uses the closing Pyth yield of the one-minute candlestick immediately preceding the settlement time. For an 8:45am ET observation, use the 8:44am candle, covering 8:44:00am up to but excluding 8:45:00am ET. No averaging applies. The closing Pyth yield, expressed as a percentage, is rounded to five decimal places using round-half-up before comparison with the strike. Other sources and stale or carried-forward values cannot substitute. If reliable data is unavailable by expiration, or none is expected, settlement is at the Exchange-determined last fair price, unless a "No data" strike is listed. Corrections, expiration and Rule 7.1 review follow the full contract rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Pyth Data Association. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. The economic event named in the title provides context. The published observation date and time govern; a delayed or rescheduled economic release does not automatically change that observation time.
- Full contract termsView
- SourcePyth - 30Y UST
- Resolution date
- Total event volume$0.00
- Timeline
- Insider trading is prohibited
Final contract results
| Contract | Resolution |
|---|---|
| Above 4.99% | |
| Above 5.00% | |
| Above 5.01% | |
| Above 5.02% | |
| Above 5.03% | |
| Above 5.04% | |
| Above 5.05% | |
| Above 5.06% |
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Learn moreThese probabilities are based on what other investors recently paid for Yes and No positions.
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