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  4. How high will the 30Y US Treasury yield get by Jan 1, 2027?
Financials

How high will the 30Y US Treasury yield get by Jan 1, 2027?

5.7% or above40¢40%
5.75% or above38¢38%
5.8% or above22¢22%
$36,827.88 Vol.

These probabilities are based on what other investors recently paid for Yes and No positions.

About

If the daily published par yield for the 30Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.69% on any business day between Sep 28, 2026 and Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. This market covers the period between Sep 28, 2026 and Jan 1, 2027. Resolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 30Y tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered. The first published value for each business day governs unless the Exchange determines a material error prior to that strike's expiration. If the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2. Otherwise, the market will expire by 7:00 PM ET on the first business day after the final daily value of the period is published, or one week after the period ends, whichever comes first.

  • Full contract termsView
  • SourceU.S. Department of the Treasury
  • Est. resolution date—
  • Total event volume$36,827.88
  • Timeline

    The market will close and expire early if the event occurs. Otherwise, it closes by .

    1. Event open
    2. Event closed
    3. Projected payout
  • Insider trading is prohibited

    The following are prohibited from trading this contract:

    • Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
    • Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.

Trade Yes contracts

  • 5.4% or aboveClosed
  • 5.8% or above
    Volume$4,254.00
    Price40¢
    +22.22% today
  • 5.7% or above
    Volume$4,210.60
    Price84¢
    +33.33% today
  • 5.75% or above
    Volume$3,825.60
    Price47¢
    +72.73% today
  • 5.54% or aboveClosed
  • 5.45% or aboveClosed
  • 5.5% or aboveClosed
  • 5.39% or aboveClosed
  • 5.36% or aboveClosed
  • 5.53% or aboveClosed

Trade No contracts

  • 5.4% or aboveClosed
  • 5.8% or above
    Volume$4,254.00
    Price84¢
    -4.88% today
  • 5.7% or above
    Volume$4,210.60
    Price65¢
    -14.29% today
  • 5.75% or above
    Volume$3,825.60
    Price82¢
    -20.51% today
  • 5.54% or aboveClosed
  • 5.45% or aboveClosed
  • 5.5% or aboveClosed
  • 5.39% or aboveClosed
  • 5.36% or aboveClosed
  • 5.53% or aboveClosed

FAQ

Frequently asked questions

Public shows live market-implied probabilities, contract prices, and trading volume for How high will the 30Y US Treasury yield get by Jan 1, 2027?. The leading outcome is 5.7% or above, with an estimated probability of 40% and a Yes contract price of $0.84. Odds can change as traders buy and sell event contracts.

On Public, you can buy and sell event contracts for How high will the 30Y US Treasury yield get by Jan 1, 2027? by choosing from the available outcomes. Compare live odds, probabilities, prices, and trading volume before making a trade. You can manage prediction markets alongside stocks, options, bonds, and crypto on Public.

Each event contract represents an outcome for How high will the 30Y US Treasury yield get by Jan 1, 2027?. On Public, you can take a Yes or No position based on whether you think that outcome will occur. Contract prices reflect market-implied probabilities and can change as the market trades.

The prediction market will resolve according to its contract terms using U.S. Department of the Treasury as the designated source. See the full contract terms on Public for the specific resolution criteria.

Yes. Public's AI Agents let you automate prediction market strategies using rules you define in plain English. Create an Agent to monitor the odds for How high will the 30Y US Treasury yield get by Jan 1, 2027? and take supported actions when your conditions are met. Since prediction markets trade 24/7, your Agent can monitor opportunities around the clock. You can also connect Public to your preferred AI model through MCP, including ChatGPT, Claude, Perplexity, Grok, and Muse.

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Related events

How high will the 10-year US Treasury yield get by Oct 30, 2026?
$79,631.06 Vol.
5.42% or above
5.44% or above
5.36% or above
How high will the 5-year US Treasury yield get in Oct 2026?
| $62,176.26 Vol.
5.13% or above
5.17% or above
5.21% or above
How low will the 10-year US Treasury yield get by Oct 30, 2026?
$106,038.48 Vol.
4.93% or below
4.91% or below
4.9% or below
How low will the 5-year US Treasury yield get in Oct 2026?
$66,766.72 Vol.
4.99% or below
4.76% or below
4.77% or below
How low will the 7-year US Treasury yield get in Oct 2026?
$88,362.34 Vol.
4.85% or below
4.84% or below
4.82% or below
How high will the 30-year US Treasury yield get by Oct 30, 2026?
$92,588.18 Vol.
5.86% or above
5.71% or above
5.69% or above
How high will the 7-year US Treasury yield get in Oct 2026?
$51,860.54 Vol.
5.22% or above
5.31% or above
5.32% or above
How low will the 2-year US Treasury yield get in Oct 2026?
$87,266.90 Vol.
4.75% or below
4.63% or below
4.59% or below
How low will the 30-year US Treasury yield get by Oct 30, 2026?
$107,956.28 Vol.
5.25% or below
5.24% or below
5.28% or below
How high will the 2-year US Treasury yield get in Oct 2026?
| $34,765.02 Vol.
4.93% or above
4.95% or above
5.07% or above
Will the 10Y US Treasury yield hit 5.50% by Oct 31, 2026?
| $24,661.24 Vol.
5.50% or higher
Will the 30Y US Treasury yield hit 6% in October?
| $38,773.04 Vol.
6% or higher
10Y US Treasury yield at year-end?
| $113,481.08 Vol.
5% or above
5.1% or above
5.25% or above
Treasury spread 10Y-2Y by Dec 31, 2026
| $18,961.92 Vol.
Above .9%
Above .7%
Above 1.00%
How high will the 10Y US Treasury yield get by Jan 1, 2027?
$76,614.40 Vol.
5.45% or above
5.4% or above
5.5% or above
10Y US Treasury yield on Dec 31, 2027?
| $295,235.90 Vol.
5.75% or above
6.25% or above
4.75% or above

Live odds on How high will the 30Y US Treasury yield get by Jan 1, 2027?

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How high will the 30Y US Treasury yield get by Jan 1, 2027?

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Event estimated to resolve on the estimated date at 10:00AM. These probabilities are based on what other investors recently paid for Yes and No positions.


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