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Politics

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense?

Before Jul 1, 202887¢87%
Before Jan 1, 202982¢82%
Before Jan 1, 202878¢78%
$681,303.18 Vol.

These probabilities are based on what other investors recently paid for Yes and No positions.

About

If Pete Hegseth leaves as Secretary of Defense before Jul 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. Pete Hegseth must have an actual departure date and vacate the role within the time period. If the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange. Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position. If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role. For "leave," cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expulsion, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role—this includes both voluntary and involuntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term.

Trade Yes contracts

  • Before Dec 1, 2026
    Volume$312,430.78
    Price19¢
    +18.75% today
  • Before Nov 1, 2026
    Volume$290,993.96
    Price2¢
    -50.00% today
  • Before Feb 1, 2027
    Volume$38,023.36
    Price41¢
    -6.82% today
  • Before Apr 1, 2027
    Volume$19,341.76
    Price59¢
    0.00% today
  • Before Jul 1, 2027
    Volume$9,216.34
    Price63¢
    +4.92% today
  • Before Oct 1, 2027
    Volume$5,018.46
    Price65¢
    +1.49% today
  • Before Jan 1, 2029
    Volume$2,636.08
    Price86¢
    -2.38% today
  • Before Jan 1, 2028
    Volume$1,990.26
    Price77¢
    +5.41% today
  • Before Jul 1, 2028
    Volume$1,652.18
    Price86¢
    +4.82% today
  • Before Oct 1, 2026Closed

Trade No contracts

  • Before Dec 1, 2026
    Volume$312,430.78
    Price83¢
    -3.57% today
  • Before Nov 1, 2026
    Volume$290,993.96
    Price99¢
    +1.02% today
  • Before Feb 1, 2027
    Volume$38,023.36
    Price60¢
    +5.36% today
  • Before Apr 1, 2027
    Volume$19,341.76
    Price42¢
    0.00% today
  • Before Jul 1, 2027
    Volume$9,216.34
    Price41¢
    -7.69% today
  • Before Oct 1, 2027
    Volume$5,018.46
    Price42¢
    -3.03% today
  • Before Jan 1, 2029
    Volume$2,636.08
    Price18¢
    +12.50% today
  • Before Jan 1, 2028
    Volume$1,990.26
    Price30¢
    -15.38% today
  • Before Jul 1, 2028
    Volume$1,652.18
    Price21¢
    -23.53% today
  • Before Oct 1, 2026Closed

FAQ

Frequently asked questions

Public shows live market-implied probabilities, contract prices, and trading volume for Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense?. The leading outcome is Before Jul 1, 2028, with an estimated probability of 87% and a Yes contract price of $0.86. Odds can change as traders buy and sell event contracts.

On Public, you can buy and sell event contracts for Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense? by choosing from the available outcomes. Compare live odds, probabilities, prices, and trading volume before making a trade. You can manage prediction markets alongside stocks, options, bonds, and crypto on Public.

Each event contract represents an outcome for Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense?. On Public, you can take a Yes or No position based on whether you think that outcome will occur. Contract prices reflect market-implied probabilities and can change as the market trades.

The prediction market will resolve according to its contract terms using Bloomberg News, CNN, Fox News, Politico, Reuters, The Wall Street Journal, The Washington Post, official government records and registries, person, the Associated Press, the New York Times, the body, agency, company, organization, or entity at which role is held as the designated source. See the full contract terms on Public for the specific resolution criteria.

Yes. Public's AI Agents let you automate prediction market strategies using rules you define in plain English. Create an Agent to monitor the odds for Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense? and take supported actions when your conditions are met. Since prediction markets trade 24/7, your Agent can monitor opportunities around the clock. You can also connect Public to your preferred AI model through MCP, including ChatGPT, Claude, Perplexity, Grok, and Muse.

How to trade the odds on Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense?

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Live odds on Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense?

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Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense?

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Event estimated to resolve on the estimated date at 10:00AM. These probabilities are based on what other investors recently paid for Yes and No positions.


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