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How much will the US acquire Greenland for?

$0 / No Acquisition90.3¢90%
$300 billion to $599 billion3.4¢3%
$10 billion to $99 billion2.8¢3%
$3,563,032.50 Vol.

Event estimated to resolve on . These probabilities are based on what other investors recently paid for Yes and No positions.

About

If the Total Monetary Consideration for a U.S. Acquisition of Greenland is exactly $0 / No Acquisition during Trump's term, then the market resolves to Yes. The Total Monetary Consideration includes cash payments, Treasury securities, direct payments to residents, recurring economic assistance (calculated as 50 times the annual amount if the term exceeds 50 years), infrastructure commitments, assumed debt, and other quantified financial commitments. It excludes the imputed value of military protection, non-quantified promises, the value of citizenship or visa-free travel, and the estimated value of natural resources or strategic positioning. Values are rounded to the nearest $1 billion USD. An "Acquisition of Greenland" requires a treaty transferring sovereignty, Senate ratification, formal White House announcement of territorial status, or a Compact of Free Association with exclusive military access. It does not include expanded base rights, trade agreements, or military occupation without a formal agreement. If no acquisition occurs in the time period, markets resolve to Yes for the "$0 / No Acquisition" bracket and No for all other brackets.

  • Full contract termsView
  • SourceThe New York Times
  • Est. resolution date
  • Total event volume$3,563,032.50
  • Timeline

    The market will close and expire early if the event occurs. Otherwise, it closes by .

    1. Event open
    2. Event closed
    3. Projected payout
  • Insider trading is prohibited

    The following are prohibited from trading this contract:

    • Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
    • Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.

Trade Yes contracts

  • $0 / No Acquisition
    Volume$1,761,398.58
    Price90.3¢
    +0.33% today
  • $600 billion to $899 billion
    Volume$405,357.62
    Price3.6¢
    -60.00% today
  • $900 billion to $1199 billion
    Volume$260,768.84
    Price0.9¢
    -60.00% today
  • $10 billion to $99 billion
    Volume$259,116.74
    Price2.8¢
    +40.00% today
  • $100 billion to $299 billion
    Volume$241,250.06
    Price1.3¢
    -53.33% today
  • $300 billion to $599 billion
    Volume$240,614.28
    Price3.4¢
    +13.33% today
  • $1 billion to $9 billion
    Volume$208,521.72
    Price2.4¢
    +140.00% today
  • $1.2 trillion or more
    Volume$186,004.66
    Price0.9¢
    -10.00% today

Trade No contracts

  • $0 / No Acquisition
    Volume$1,761,398.58
    Price9.9¢
    -3.00% today
  • $600 billion to $899 billion
    Volume$405,357.62
    Price99.2¢
    +1.22% today
  • $900 billion to $1199 billion
    Volume$260,768.84
    Price99.6¢
    +0.61% today
  • $10 billion to $99 billion
    Volume$259,116.74
    Price99¢
    -0.82% today
  • $100 billion to $299 billion
    Volume$241,250.06
    Price98.8¢
    +1.65% today
  • $300 billion to $599 billion
    Volume$240,614.28
    Price97.9¢
    -0.41% today
  • $1 billion to $9 billion
    Volume$208,521.72
    Price99.5¢
    -1.41% today
  • $1.2 trillion or more
    Volume$186,004.66
    Price99.5¢
    +0.10% today

FAQ

Frequently asked questions

Public shows live market-implied probabilities, contract prices, and trading volume for How much will the US acquire Greenland for?. The leading outcome is $0 / No Acquisition, with an estimated probability of 90% and a Yes contract price of $0.903. Odds can change as traders buy and sell event contracts.

On Public, you can buy and sell event contracts for How much will the US acquire Greenland for? by choosing from the available outcomes. Compare live odds, probabilities, prices, and trading volume before making a trade. You can manage prediction markets alongside stocks, options, bonds, and crypto on Public.

Each event contract represents an outcome for How much will the US acquire Greenland for?. On Public, you can take a Yes or No position based on whether you think that outcome will occur. Contract prices reflect market-implied probabilities and can change as the market trades.

The estimated resolution date for How much will the US acquire Greenland for? is Jan 22, 2029. The prediction market will resolve according to its contract terms using The New York Times as the designated source. See the full contract terms on Public for the specific resolution criteria.

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Live odds on How much will the US acquire Greenland for?

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How much will the US acquire Greenland for?

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Event estimated to resolve on at 10:00AM. These probabilities are based on what other investors recently paid for Yes and No positions.


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