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How many House Republicans will vote to impeach Pete Hegseth?

At least 15¢5%
At least 35¢5%
At least 55¢5%
$272,273.12 Vol.

Event estimated to resolve on . These probabilities are based on what other investors recently paid for Yes and No positions.

About

If the number of Republican Representatives voting Yea on the first House vote on adopting a resolution or article impeaching Pete Hegseth is at least 1 before Jan 3, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. The vote that counts is the first recorded House vote on adopting a resolution or an article of impeachment against Pete Hegseth, whether or not the House adopts it. If the articles are voted on separately, the vote on the first article counts. Only Yea votes by Representatives listed as Republicans in the Clerk of the House's roll call for that vote count. Does NOT count: A vote on a motion to table, refer, postpone or otherwise dispose of an impeachment resolution, or on a special rule or the previous question A committee vote If there is no such vote before Jan 3, 2027, the number is zero.

  • Full contract termsView
  • SourceClerk of the U.S. House of Representatives
  • Est. resolution date
  • Total event volume$272,273.12
  • Timeline

    The market will close and expire early if the event occurs. Otherwise, it closes by .

    1. Event open
    2. Event closed
    3. Projected payout
  • Insider trading is prohibited

    The following are prohibited from trading this contract:

    • Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
    • Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
    • Any candidate currently listed as a market within this event.

Trade Yes contracts

ContractVolumePrice1D changeEst. probability
At least 1
$132.18K5¢+25.00%
At least 3
$46.75K5¢+25.00%
At least 5
$26.24K5¢+25.00%
At least 8
$26.03K5¢0.00%
At least 12
$24.78K3¢+100.00%
At least 20
$16.28K3¢0.00%

Trade No contracts

ContractVolumePrice1D changeEst. probability
At least 1
$132.18K96¢-1.04%
At least 3
$46.75K96¢-1.04%
At least 5
$26.24K96¢-1.04%
At least 8
$26.03K98¢0.00%
At least 12
$24.78K98¢-2.04%
At least 20
$16.28K98¢0.00%

FAQ

Frequently asked questions

Public shows live market-implied probabilities, contract prices, and trading volume for How many House Republicans will vote to impeach Pete Hegseth?. The leading outcome is At least 1, with an estimated probability of 5% and a Yes contract price of $0.05. Odds can change as traders buy and sell event contracts.

On Public, you can buy and sell event contracts for How many House Republicans will vote to impeach Pete Hegseth? by choosing from the available outcomes. Compare live odds, probabilities, prices, and trading volume before making a trade. You can manage prediction markets alongside stocks, options, bonds, and crypto on Public.

Each event contract represents an outcome for How many House Republicans will vote to impeach Pete Hegseth?. On Public, you can take a Yes or No position based on whether you think that outcome will occur. Contract prices reflect market-implied probabilities and can change as the market trades.

The estimated resolution date for How many House Republicans will vote to impeach Pete Hegseth? is Jan 3, 2027. The prediction market will resolve according to its contract terms using Clerk of the U.S. House of Representatives as the designated source. See the full contract terms on Public for the specific resolution criteria.

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Live odds on How many House Republicans will vote to impeach Pete Hegseth?

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How many House Republicans will vote to impeach Pete Hegseth?

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Event estimated to resolve on at 10:00AM. These probabilities are based on what other investors recently paid for Yes and No positions.


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