How many Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?
Event estimated to resolve on . These probabilities are based on what other investors recently paid for Yes and No positions.
About
If the number of Senate voting Yea on a crypto market structure bill (as defined in KXCRYPTOSTRUCTURE) before Jan 1, 2027 is above 55, then the market resolves to Yes. KXCRYPTOSTRUCTURE: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxcryptostructure/crypto-market-structure/kxcryptostructure-26jan The vote must occur in the relevant full chamber (that is, not a Committee vote, though not every member of the chamber needs to have participated in the vote). If no vote has occurred before the specified date, then any market not including "zero" within its count (e.g. "Between 50 and 64") resolves to No, and any market including "zero" (e.g. "Below 50") resolves to Yes. If the vote count is not specified but the bill is passed, any market including "100" for the Senate and "435" for the House of Representatives (e.g. "Between 65 and 100" or "Between 300 and 435") will resolve to Yes, and any market not including "100" or "435", respectively, (e.g. "Below 65") resolves to No. Once the market has expired, a request by any Member of Congress to add, remove, or alter a vote shall not be considered for purposes of resolving this market, regardless of any change to the official vote tally reported by the website Congress.gov or any other official source.
- Full contract termsView
- SourceLibrary of Congress
- Est. resolution date
- Total event volume$376,920.68
- Timeline
- Insider trading is prohibited
Trade Yes contracts
- Above 50Volume$226,796.00Price5¢+25.00% today
- Above 58Volume$39,243.10Price7¢-16.67% today
- Above 60Volume$38,398.90Price8¢-16.67% today
- Above 55Volume$32,814.60Price6¢0.00% today
- Above 62Volume$15,688.86Price7¢0.00% today
- Above 64Volume$15,644.68Price6¢0.00% today
- Above 66Volume$6,296.50Price8¢-66.67% today
- Above 68Volume$2,038.04Price7¢0.00% today
Trade No contracts
- Above 50Volume$226,796.00Price96¢-1.04% today
- Above 58Volume$39,243.10Price95¢+1.06% today
- Above 60Volume$38,398.90Price95¢+1.06% today
- Above 55Volume$32,814.60Price95¢0.00% today
- Above 62Volume$15,688.86Price95¢0.00% today
- Above 64Volume$15,644.68Price95¢0.00% today
- Above 66Volume$6,296.50Price97¢+4.26% today
- Above 68Volume$2,038.04Price98¢0.00% today
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How many Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?
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