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How many Cabinet members will Trump say he fired in 2026?

088¢88%
14¢4%
43.7¢4%
$271,510.30 Vol.

Event estimated to resolve on . These probabilities are based on what other investors recently paid for Yes and No positions.

About

If President Trump has announced that he asked for the resignation of, or fired, exactly 0 non-acting Cabinet members before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. An announcement will be considered to be made by President Trump if it is announced on President Trump's personal or official social media accounts, made by President Trump in a video or audio format, a direct quote from President Trump in written reporting, or otherwise written or released directly from President Trump. The withdrawal of a request for resignation, or the reversal of a decision to fire, does not negate the initial request for resignation or decision to fire for the purposes of this Contract. For the purposes of this Contract, it does not matter if the Cabinet member does not actually resign, is removed, or otherwise leaves the position. For purposes of this Contract, the Cabinet includes the heads of the 15 government agencies in the Cabinet as of Issuance, as well the Administrator of the EPA, the President's Chief of Staff, Director of National Intelligence, Director of OMB, Director of CIA, United States Trade Representative, Ambassador to the UN, Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers, Administrator of the SBA, and Director of OSTP. An "acting" member of the Cabinet is not included.

  • Full contract termsView
  • SourceThe New York Times, White House
  • Est. resolution date
  • Total event volume$271,510.30
  • Timeline

    The market will close and expire early if the event occurs. Otherwise, it closes by .

    1. Event open
    2. Event closed
    3. Projected payout
  • Insider trading is prohibited

    The following are prohibited from trading this contract:

    • Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
    • Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.

Trade Yes contracts

  • 0
    Volume$132,043.56
    Price88¢
    0.00% today
  • 2
    Volume$46,179.46
    Price3.3¢
    +16.67% today
  • 1
    Volume$37,148.16
    Price5.1¢
    0.00% today
  • 3
    Volume$28,195.04
    Price0.9¢
    -80.00% today
  • 4
    Volume$15,597.40
    Price3.6¢
    +85.00% today
  • 5
    Volume$12,346.68
    Price3.4¢
    -85.00% today

Trade No contracts

  • 0
    Volume$132,043.56
    Price13¢
    0.00% today
  • 2
    Volume$46,179.46
    Price97.4¢
    -0.52% today
  • 1
    Volume$37,148.16
    Price97.8¢
    0.00% today
  • 3
    Volume$28,195.04
    Price99.8¢
    +9,880.00% today
  • 4
    Volume$15,597.40
    Price99.9¢
    -1.73% today
  • 5
    Volume$12,346.68
    Price99.7¢
    +1.73% today

FAQ

Frequently asked questions

Public shows live market-implied probabilities, contract prices, and trading volume for How many Cabinet members will Trump say he fired in 2026?. The leading outcome is 0, with an estimated probability of 88% and a Yes contract price of $0.88. Odds can change as traders buy and sell event contracts.

On Public, you can buy and sell event contracts for How many Cabinet members will Trump say he fired in 2026? by choosing from the available outcomes. Compare live odds, probabilities, prices, and trading volume before making a trade. You can manage prediction markets alongside stocks, options, bonds, and crypto on Public.

Each event contract represents an outcome for How many Cabinet members will Trump say he fired in 2026?. On Public, you can take a Yes or No position based on whether you think that outcome will occur. Contract prices reflect market-implied probabilities and can change as the market trades.

The estimated resolution date for How many Cabinet members will Trump say he fired in 2026? is Jan 1, 2027. The prediction market will resolve according to its contract terms using The New York Times, White House as the designated source. See the full contract terms on Public for the specific resolution criteria.

Yes. Public's AI Agents let you automate prediction market strategies using rules you define in plain English. Create an Agent to monitor the odds for How many Cabinet members will Trump say he fired in 2026? and take supported actions when your conditions are met. Since prediction markets trade 24/7, your Agent can monitor opportunities around the clock. You can also connect Public to your preferred AI model through MCP, including ChatGPT, Claude, Perplexity, Grok, and Muse.

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How many Cabinet members will Trump say he fired in 2026?

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Event estimated to resolve on at 10:00AM. These probabilities are based on what other investors recently paid for Yes and No positions.


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