
Vistra Energy (VST) Stock Forecast & Price Target
Vistra Energy (VST) Analyst Ratings
Bulls say
Vistra Corp. has demonstrated a robust growth trajectory in its retail business, with retail volumes rising 9% year-over-year to 67 terawatt-hours (TWh), supported by improved pricing and favorable weather conditions. The company is projecting a significant enhancement in its free cash flow conversion rate, aiming for 60% of adjusted EBITDA starting in 2026, indicating strong financial health and operational efficiency. Furthermore, Vistra's hedge percentage has improved to 94% for 2026, bolstering its revenue stability while expanding margins in the retail sector through a comprehensive hedging program and integrated commercial optimization.
Bears say
Vistra Corp. has shown a decline in EBITDA for its generation segment, reporting $593 million, a 5% decrease year-over-year attributed to unplanned outages, which raises concerns about operational reliability. Additionally, the retail segment's EBITDA decreased by $33 million, indicating challenges related to supply costs despite customer growth and strong margins. Furthermore, the anticipated decline in the leverage ratio, from a sustained level of approximately 3.0x, alongside potential adverse conditions such as depressed gas prices and severe weather, contributes to a fundamentally negative outlook for the company's financial stability moving forward.
This aggregate rating is based on analysts' research of Vistra Energy and is not a guaranteed prediction by Public.com or investment advice.
Vistra Energy (VST) Analyst Forecast & Price Prediction
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