
Progressive (PGR) Stock Forecast & Price Target
Progressive (PGR) Analyst Ratings
Bulls say
Progressive is the second-largest personal auto insurer in the U.S., with nearly 24 million personal auto policies in force, and benefits from a balanced distribution strategy through both independent agencies and direct channels. The company has raised its earnings per share (EPS) estimates for 2025 to $18.15, reflecting improved performance from August 2025, higher net investment income (NII), and anticipated lower catastrophe losses, despite challenges such as slower premium growth and rising expense ratios. Expectations of improved core loss ratios in the property and casualty insurance sector, along with a historical lag between peak pricing and accident-year profitability, further support a positive outlook for Progressive's financial performance.
Bears say
Progressive's stock outlook is negatively impacted by a downward revision of the 2025 earnings estimate from $18.15 to $17.00, primarily due to underperformance in the Florida market and expectations of slower premium growth and a higher core loss ratio. The forecast indicates that the company's personal auto policy growth rate may decelerate as rate increases from competitors slow, compounded by seasonality effects and declining trends in personal auto physical damage losses. Additionally, concerns about rising loss ratios and the potential for insureds to refrain from filing small claims further exacerbate the challenging financial landscape for Progressive.
This aggregate rating is based on analysts' research of Progressive and is not a guaranteed prediction by Public.com or investment advice.
Progressive (PGR) Analyst Forecast & Price Prediction
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