
Carrier Global (CARR) Stock Forecast & Price Target
Carrier Global (CARR) Analyst Ratings
Bulls say
Carrier Global's robust positioning in the HVAC market, which generates approximately 85% of its consolidated revenue, highlights its strong foothold in the residential and commercial segments, particularly as these areas are projected to see improved demand dynamics. The company stands to benefit from a faster-than-expected recovery in the European heat pump market and enhanced performance in the Americas, coupled with effective cost management strategies that could bolster incremental margins as volumes rebound. Furthermore, Carrier's commitment to energy efficiency offers the potential for significant savings for customers while supporting environmental sustainability, enhancing its attractiveness relative to peers in the HVAC sector.
Bears say
The financial outlook for Carrier Global appears negative due to significant downward revisions in residential HVAC sales forecasts among industry peers, particularly Trane, which has reduced its full-year residential sales outlook from flat to down high-single digits. Additionally, Carrier's third-quarter 2025 guidance has shown considerable volatility, initially set 13% below consensus and later adjusted to 30% below, indicating challenges in meeting market expectations and potential revenue shortfalls. Lastly, issues such as unexpected factory under-absorption in the European residential and light commercial (RLC) business further underscore operational difficulties, complicating the company's ability to maintain margins within its HVAC segment.
This aggregate rating is based on analysts' research of Carrier Global and is not a guaranteed prediction by Public.com or investment advice.
Carrier Global (CARR) Analyst Forecast & Price Prediction
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