
Carrier Global (CARR) Stock Forecast & Price Target
Carrier Global (CARR) Analyst Ratings
Bulls say
Carrier Global has a positive outlook, with expectations that 40% of its portfolio, specifically in aftermarket and commercial HVAC, will experience double-digit percentage growth, supported by strong order flow observed in the fourth quarter of 2025 for the year 2026. The company plans to implement a price increase of up to five percent in its residential sector across the Americas, which bodes well for revenue stability amidst current market challenges like high interest rates and inventory pressures. Moreover, the anticipated recovery in the European heat pump market, improved sell-in trends in the Americas, and effective cost-management strategies position Carrier for potential margin expansion in the coming years.
Bears say
Carrier Global has issued a negative preannouncement for its 4Q25 earnings per share (EPS), indicating a guidance that is approximately 12% lower than previous expectations due to persistent weakness in its Americas residential HVAC segment, which constitutes about 50% of total revenues. The company has also adjusted its full-year 2025 EPS forecast down by 5 cents from $2.65 to $2.60, reflecting ongoing volume pressures in the residential sector, as evidenced by similar outlook reductions from competitors Trane and Lennox. Additionally, the company's 3Q25 guidance has faced significant revisions, initially set 13% below consensus estimates and now adjusted to a 30% shortfall, highlighting substantial operational challenges within Carrier's core business segments.
This aggregate rating is based on analysts' research of Carrier Global and is not a guaranteed prediction by Public.com or investment advice.
Carrier Global (CARR) Analyst Forecast & Price Prediction
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