ABX Stock Forecast & Price Target

Abacus Global Management is supported by a clear earnings beat, with GAAP EPS of $0.07 and adjusted EPS of $0.28 above both PSC and the Street, while adjusted EBITDA reached $39.9M with a 55% margin. The company’s raised 2026 adjusted net income guidance of $100M to $106M, implying 18% to 24% annual growth, signals confidence in continued execution, and 3Q26 guidance of $0.26 to $0.28 EPS suggests further upside versus the Street. Solid capital deployed of $163M, along with a “fairly robust” acquisition pipeline and management’s stated progress toward longer-term targets, supports a favorable outlook for growth and profitability.

Abacus Global Management is viewed negatively because its earnings quality appears mixed: adjusted EPS of $0.21 only matched the Street while GAAP EPS of $0.07 was still modest, and the slight beat versus PSC was driven more by lower expenses and a reduced share count than by stronger underlying top-line performance. Revenue fell short of the estimate, and adjusted EBITDA of $32.7M came in below both the $33.0M estimate and the $33.5M Street view, suggesting operating momentum was not as strong as headline EPS implies. Although the 55% adjusted EBITDA margin is healthy, the combination of softer revenue and limited EBITDA upside raises concern about sustainability.