Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Chair or Governor?
Event estimated to resolve on . These probabilities are based on what other investors recently paid for Yes and No positions.
About
If the President of the United States has tried to fire Jerome Powell as Chair or Member of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. A "try to fire" includes **any** of the following: - The President signs an executive order, memorandum, or other official document stating termination; - Directs any Cabinet member or senior official to terminate the person; - Publicly states (in a speech, interview, press conference, or verified social media) that he has fired or decided to fire the person; - The White House officially announces termination; - Sends written communication to the person informing them of termination; - Initiates formal legal proceedings for removal The following do **NOT** qualify: - Statements that the person "should" resign or be fired; - Expressions of dissatisfaction; - Asking or pressuring for voluntary resignation; - Stating the President is "looking into" whether he can fire the person; - Statements by other officials unless directed by the President; - Unsent letters ordering termination This market resolves on the President's attempt to fire, not on whether such attempt is legally valid, successful, or results in the person leaving office.
- Full contract termsView
- SourceABC, Axios, Bloomberg News, CBS, CNN, Fox News, NBC, Politico, Reuters, Semafor, The New York Times, The Wall Street Journal, The Washington Post, person in position, the Associated Press, the Department of Justice, the Office of Management and Budget, the White House
- Est. resolution date
- Total event volume$158,831.00
- Timeline
- Insider trading is prohibited
Trade Yes and No contracts
- YesVolume$158,831.00Price5.8¢-42.50% today
- NoVolume$158,831.00Price97.7¢+1.77% today
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Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Chair or Governor?
Prediction Markets Glossary
Learn moreEvent estimated to resolve on at 10:00AM. These probabilities are based on what other investors recently paid for Yes and No positions.
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