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Will Sam Altman hold super-voting OpenAI shares at IPO?

Yes27¢27%
No73¢73%
$7,211.16 Vol.

Event estimated to resolve on . These probabilities are based on what other investors recently paid for Yes and No positions.

About

If Sam Altman holds shares of OpenAI carrying more votes per share than the shares sold to the public immediately following OpenAI's IPO, then the market resolves to Yes. How this is resolved SEC filings take priority, followed by the other sources listed in the full rules. Ownership and votes per share are measured at the initial closing of OpenAI's IPO. Payout Criteria Sam Altman holds shares with more votes per share than those sold to the public. Beneficial ownership, including through trusts or other entities, counts. Votes are compared on a common-share-equivalent basis, including convertible shares and Up-C structures. Any qualifying holding counts, regardless of size. Doesn't count for payout Announcements, unexercised options, unsettled RSUs, or shares acquired only after that closing. Veto or special board-election rights without higher votes per share. Direct listings, SPAC transactions, or offerings outside SEC registration. Expiration and no IPO Latest expiration: 10:00 AM ET on the earlier of 14 days after IPO shares first trade or one year after issuance. The market may close early if the payout criterion is met. Resolves No if no qualifying IPO closes by expiration, or no source reports a qualifying holding by then. Please see the full rules for more details. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the OpenAI. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

  • Full contract termsView
  • SourceABC, BBC, Bloomberg News, CBS, CNBC, CNN, Fox News, MS Now, NBC, Reuters, SEC filings, The Wall Street Journal, The Washington Post, the Associated Press, the New York Times
  • Est. resolution date
  • Total event volume$7,211.16
  • Timeline

    The market will close and expire early if the event occurs. Otherwise, it closes by .

    1. Event open
    2. Event closed
    3. Projected payout
  • Insider trading is prohibited

    The following are prohibited from trading this contract:

    • Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
    • Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
    • The natural person identified in the market.
    • Officers, directors, employees, and contractors of the specified company and of its subsidiaries and affiliates
    • Pre-IPO stockholders of the specified company, and the officers, partners, and employees of any such stockholder that is an entity, who have access to material nonpublic information relating to the specified company’s capital structure or IPO
    • Underwriters, financial advisors, legal counsel, independent auditors, financial printers, transfer agents, and exchange listing staff engaged in connection with the specified company’s IPO, and their employees with access to material nonpublic information relating to the specified company’s capital structure or IPO
    • Employees of the Source Agencies, including SEC staff, with access to material nonpublic information relating to the Underlying
    • Any person who otherwise has the ability to influence, or has advance knowledge of, the specified company’s capital structure, the votes per share of any class or series of the specified company’s shares, or the shares held by the natural person identified in the market immediately following the specified company’s IPO
    • The immediate family members and members of the same household of any person described above

Trade Yes and No contracts

  • Yes
    Volume$7,211.16
    Price28¢
    +12.50% today
  • No
    Volume$7,211.16
    Price80¢
    -3.95% today

FAQ

Frequently asked questions

Public shows live market-implied probabilities, contract prices, and trading volume for Will Sam Altman hold super-voting OpenAI shares at IPO?. The outcome is Will Sam Altman hold super-voting OpenAI shares at IPO?, with an estimated probability of 27% and a Yes contract price of $0.28. Odds can change as traders buy and sell event contracts.

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Each event contract represents an outcome for Will Sam Altman hold super-voting OpenAI shares at IPO?. On Public, you can take a Yes or No position based on whether you think that outcome will occur. Contract prices reflect market-implied probabilities and can change as the market trades.

The estimated resolution date for Will Sam Altman hold super-voting OpenAI shares at IPO? is Jan 1, 2028. The prediction market will resolve according to its contract terms using ABC, BBC, Bloomberg News, CBS, CNBC, CNN, Fox News, MS Now, NBC, Reuters, SEC filings, The Wall Street Journal, The Washington Post, the Associated Press, the New York Times as the designated source. See the full contract terms on Public for the specific resolution criteria.

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Will Sam Altman hold super-voting OpenAI shares at IPO?

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Event estimated to resolve on at 10:00AM. These probabilities are based on what other investors recently paid for Yes and No positions.


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Event contracts offered by Open to the Public Investing, Inc. and Apex Clearing Corp. through KalshiEX LLC.