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Will marijuana be rescheduled?

Before Jan 20, 202984¢84%
Before Jan 1, 202868¢68%
Before Oct 1, 202762¢62%
$2,121,246.38 Vol.

These probabilities are based on what other investors recently paid for Yes and No positions.

About

If marijuana is rescheduled from Schedule I to a lower drug schedule under the Controlled Substances Act before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes. If the DEA were to reschedule only certain cannabis derivatives or specific cannabinoids (e.g., move THC or a particular cannabis-derived pharmaceutical to a different schedule) without reclassifying marijuana/cannabis as a whole, that would not qualify as rescheduling marijuana for this contract. Ending the schedule altogether would resolve the market to Yes. Clarification (12/12/25): The Payout Criterion requires that marijuana is legally removed from Schedule I. The mere announcement or publication of a Final Rule in the Federal Register does not satisfy the Payout Criterion if the rule has not taken legal effect. The market resolves based on the actual status of the Schedules under the Controlled Substances Act.

Trade Yes contracts

  • Before Jan 1, 2027
    Volume$1,657,632.88
    Price4.5¢
    -10.00% today
  • Before Jan 1, 2028
    Volume$284,787.46
    Price70¢
    -1.45% today
  • Before Jan 20, 2029
    Volume$166,221.08
    Price90¢
    -4.55% today
  • Before Jul 1, 2027
    Volume$7,200.24
    Price49¢
    -8.00% today
  • Before Apr 1, 2027
    Volume$5,274.04
    Price36¢
    +2.70% today
  • Before Oct 1, 2027
    Volume$130.68
    Price62¢
    +3.33% today

Trade No contracts

  • Before Jan 1, 2027
    Volume$1,657,632.88
    Price96.2¢
    +0.42% today
  • Before Jan 1, 2028
    Volume$284,787.46
    Price32¢
    +3.23% today
  • Before Jan 20, 2029
    Volume$166,221.08
    Price13¢
    +33.33% today
  • Before Jul 1, 2027
    Volume$7,200.24
    Price55¢
    +8.00% today
  • Before Apr 1, 2027
    Volume$5,274.04
    Price67¢
    0.00% today
  • Before Oct 1, 2027
    Volume$130.68
    Price44¢
    -5.00% today

FAQ

Frequently asked questions

Public shows live market-implied probabilities, contract prices, and trading volume for Will marijuana be rescheduled?. The leading outcome is Before Jan 20, 2029, with an estimated probability of 84% and a Yes contract price of $0.90. Odds can change as traders buy and sell event contracts.

On Public, you can buy and sell event contracts for Will marijuana be rescheduled? by choosing from the available outcomes. Compare live odds, probabilities, prices, and trading volume before making a trade. You can manage prediction markets alongside stocks, options, bonds, and crypto on Public.

Each event contract represents an outcome for Will marijuana be rescheduled?. On Public, you can take a Yes or No position based on whether you think that outcome will occur. Contract prices reflect market-implied probabilities and can change as the market trades.

The prediction market will resolve according to its contract terms using ABC, Axios, CBS, CNN, Fox News, MSNBC, Politico, Reuters, Semafor, The Information, The New York Times, The Wall Street Journal, The Washington Post, the Associated Press, the United States Congress as the designated source. See the full contract terms on Public for the specific resolution criteria.

Yes. Public's AI Agents let you automate prediction market strategies using rules you define in plain English. Create an Agent to monitor the odds for Will marijuana be rescheduled? and take supported actions when your conditions are met. Since prediction markets trade 24/7, your Agent can monitor opportunities around the clock. You can also connect Public to your preferred AI model through MCP, including ChatGPT, Claude, Perplexity, Grok, and Muse.

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Will marijuana be rescheduled?

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Event estimated to resolve on the estimated date at 10:00AM. These probabilities are based on what other investors recently paid for Yes and No positions.


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