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  4. Will Canada housing starts go above 300K in 2026?
Economics

Will Canada housing starts go above 300K in 2026?

Yes7¢7%
No93¢93%
$12,785.30 Vol.

Event estimated to resolve on . These probabilities are based on what other investors recently paid for Yes and No positions.

About

If the total number of Canada housing starts is above 300K in any monthly release covering January 2026 through December 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The relevant statistic is the headline monthly seasonally adjusted annual rate of housing starts for Canada, expressed in units, as reported on Trading Economics’ Canada Housing Starts page and sourced from Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation. For clarity, the market will use the monthly seasonally adjusted annual rate for all areas in Canada, not actual monthly starts, year-to-date starts, the six-month moving average trend, urban-only starts, provincial starts, or the calendar-year total number of starts.

  • Full contract termsView
  • SourceBureau of Labor Statistics- Consumer Price Index, Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation
  • Est. resolution date
  • Total event volume$12,785.30
  • Timeline

    The market will close and expire early if the event occurs. Otherwise, it closes by .

    1. Event open
    2. Event closed
    3. Projected payout
  • Insider trading is prohibited

    The following are prohibited from trading this contract:

    • Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
    • Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.

Trade Yes and No contracts

  • Yes
    Volume$12,785.30
    Price16¢
    -41.67% today
  • No
    Volume$12,785.30
    Price93¢
    +5.68% today

FAQ

Frequently asked questions

Public shows live market-implied probabilities, contract prices, and trading volume for Will Canada housing starts go above 300K in 2026?. The outcome is Above 300K, with an estimated probability of 7% and a Yes contract price of $0.16. Odds can change as traders buy and sell event contracts.

On Public, you can buy and sell event contracts for Will Canada housing starts go above 300K in 2026? by choosing from the available outcomes. Compare live odds, probabilities, prices, and trading volume before making a trade. You can manage prediction markets alongside stocks, options, bonds, and crypto on Public.

Each event contract represents an outcome for Will Canada housing starts go above 300K in 2026?. On Public, you can take a Yes or No position based on whether you think that outcome will occur. Contract prices reflect market-implied probabilities and can change as the market trades.

The estimated resolution date for Will Canada housing starts go above 300K in 2026? is Jan 18, 2027. The prediction market will resolve according to its contract terms using Bureau of Labor Statistics- Consumer Price Index, Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation as the designated source. See the full contract terms on Public for the specific resolution criteria.

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Live odds on Will Canada housing starts go above 300K in 2026?

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Will Canada housing starts go above 300K in 2026?

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Event estimated to resolve on at 10:00AM. These probabilities are based on what other investors recently paid for Yes and No positions.


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