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Elections

Who will be House Minority Leader in the 120th Congress?

Mike Johnson37¢37%
Jim Jordan35¢35%
Steve Scalise9¢9%
$197,100.96 Vol.

Event estimated to resolve on . These probabilities are based on what other investors recently paid for Yes and No positions.

About

If Mike Johnson wins the House Minority Leader election for the 120th Congress, then the market resolves to Yes. For this indirect election, the winner is the candidate elected House Minority Leader by the House Democratic Caucus or the House Republican Conference of whichever party holds the minority in the 120th Congress, as certified by that body. A later change in the office does not affect resolution. If the minority party selects someone not listed, every market resolves NO. This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details.

  • Full contract termsView
  • SourceAssociated Press, House Democratic Caucus, House Republican Conference, Reuters
  • Est. resolution date
  • Total event volume$197,100.96
  • Timeline

    The market will close and expire early if the event occurs. Otherwise, it closes by .

    1. Event open
    2. Event closed
    3. Projected payout
  • Insider trading is prohibited

    The following are prohibited from trading this contract:

    • Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
    • Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
    • Any candidate currently listed as a market within this event

Trade Yes contracts

  • Hakeem Jeffries
    Volume$26,981.50
    Price6¢
    +100.00% today
  • Katherine Clark
    Volume$26,190.34
    Price1¢
    0.00% today
  • Pete Aguilar
    Volume$22,032.00
    Price1¢
    0.00% today
  • Joe Neguse
    Volume$20,032.00
    Price1¢
    0.00% today
  • Ted Lieu
    Volume$20,032.00
    Price1¢
    0.00% today
  • Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
    Volume$16,967.18
    Price1¢
    — today
  • Steve Scalise
    Volume$15,094.48
    Price15¢
    -25.00% today
  • Tom Emmer
    Volume$13,241.46
    Price5¢
    +50.00% today
  • Lisa McClain
    Volume$9,308.62
    Price1¢
    0.00% today
  • Mike Lawler
    Volume$8,066.00
    Price1¢
    0.00% today

Trade No contracts

  • Hakeem Jeffries
    Volume$26,981.50
    Price98¢
    -4.17% today
  • Katherine Clark
    Volume$26,190.34
    Price100¢
    +9,800.00% today
  • Pete Aguilar
    Volume$22,032.00
    Price100¢
    +9,800.00% today
  • Joe Neguse
    Volume$20,032.00
    Price100¢
    +9,800.00% today
  • Ted Lieu
    Volume$20,032.00
    Price100¢
    +9,800.00% today
  • Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
    Volume$16,967.18
    Price100¢
    -1.00% today
  • Steve Scalise
    Volume$15,094.48
    Price92¢
    +3.41% today
  • Tom Emmer
    Volume$13,241.46
    Price97¢
    -2.08% today
  • Lisa McClain
    Volume$9,308.62
    Price100¢
    +9,800.00% today
  • Mike Lawler
    Volume$8,066.00
    Price100¢
    +9,800.00% today

FAQ

Frequently asked questions

Public shows live market-implied probabilities, contract prices, and trading volume for Who will be House Minority Leader in the 120th Congress?. The leading outcome is Mike Johnson, with an estimated probability of 37% and a Yes contract price of $0.34. Odds can change as traders buy and sell event contracts.

On Public, you can buy and sell event contracts for Who will be House Minority Leader in the 120th Congress? by choosing from the available outcomes. Compare live odds, probabilities, prices, and trading volume before making a trade. You can manage prediction markets alongside stocks, options, bonds, and crypto on Public.

Each event contract represents an outcome for Who will be House Minority Leader in the 120th Congress?. On Public, you can take a Yes or No position based on whether you think that outcome will occur. Contract prices reflect market-implied probabilities and can change as the market trades.

The estimated resolution date for Who will be House Minority Leader in the 120th Congress? is Nov 30, 2027. The prediction market will resolve according to its contract terms using Associated Press, House Democratic Caucus, House Republican Conference, Reuters as the designated source. See the full contract terms on Public for the specific resolution criteria.

Yes. Public's AI Agents let you automate prediction market strategies using rules you define in plain English. Create an Agent to monitor the odds for Who will be House Minority Leader in the 120th Congress? and take supported actions when your conditions are met. Since prediction markets trade 24/7, your Agent can monitor opportunities around the clock. You can also connect Public to your preferred AI model through MCP, including ChatGPT, Claude, Perplexity, Grok, and Muse.

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  2. 2

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  3. 3

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  4. 4

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Live odds on Who will be House Minority Leader in the 120th Congress?

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Who will be House Minority Leader in the 120th Congress?

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Event estimated to resolve on at 10:00AM. These probabilities are based on what other investors recently paid for Yes and No positions.


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