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Elections

120th Congress: Who will be Senate Majority Leader?

Chuck Schumer56¢56%
John Thune24¢24%
Chris Van Hollen11¢11%
$21,921.32 Vol.

Event estimated to resolve on . These probabilities are based on what other investors recently paid for Yes and No positions.

About

If Chuck Schumer wins the U.S. Senate Majority Leader election for the 120th Congress, then the market resolves to Yes. Each party’s Senate conference elects its own leader, and the leader of the party that holds Senate majority status serves as Senate Majority Leader. This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.

Trade Yes contracts

  • Chuck Schumer
    Volume$11,633.24
    Price63¢
    -3.45% today
  • John Thune
    Volume$3,569.56
    Price26¢
    +9.09% today
  • Brian Schatz
    Volume$3,175.00
    Price8¢
    +16.67% today
  • Tom Cotton
    Volume$1,629.00
    Price4¢
    0.00% today
  • John Barrasso
    Volume$966.42
    Price5¢
    -25.00% today
  • Chris Van Hollen
    Volume$948.10
    Price8¢
    +83.33% today

Trade No contracts

  • Chuck Schumer
    Volume$11,633.24
    Price45¢
    +4.76% today
  • John Thune
    Volume$3,569.56
    Price82¢
    -2.56% today
  • Brian Schatz
    Volume$3,175.00
    Price95¢
    -1.06% today
  • Tom Cotton
    Volume$1,629.00
    Price99¢
    0.00% today
  • John Barrasso
    Volume$966.42
    Price98¢
    +1.04% today
  • Chris Van Hollen
    Volume$948.10
    Price95¢
    -5.32% today

FAQ

Frequently asked questions

Public shows live market-implied probabilities, contract prices, and trading volume for 120th Congress: Who will be Senate Majority Leader?. The leading outcome is Chuck Schumer, with an estimated probability of 56% and a Yes contract price of $0.63. Odds can change as traders buy and sell event contracts.

On Public, you can buy and sell event contracts for 120th Congress: Who will be Senate Majority Leader? by choosing from the available outcomes. Compare live odds, probabilities, prices, and trading volume before making a trade. You can manage prediction markets alongside stocks, options, bonds, and crypto on Public.

Each event contract represents an outcome for 120th Congress: Who will be Senate Majority Leader?. On Public, you can take a Yes or No position based on whether you think that outcome will occur. Contract prices reflect market-implied probabilities and can change as the market trades.

The estimated resolution date for 120th Congress: Who will be Senate Majority Leader? is Jan 3, 2028. The prediction market will resolve according to its contract terms using Attorney General of the United States, The Source Agencies are, in hierarchical order: the relevant state Secretary of State or chief election officer, relevant city/municipal clerk, relevant county clerk or board of elections, state board of elections or canvassing board, the Federal Election Commission as the designated source. See the full contract terms on Public for the specific resolution criteria.

Yes. Public's AI Agents let you automate prediction market strategies using rules you define in plain English. Create an Agent to monitor the odds for 120th Congress: Who will be Senate Majority Leader? and take supported actions when your conditions are met. Since prediction markets trade 24/7, your Agent can monitor opportunities around the clock. You can also connect Public to your preferred AI model through MCP, including ChatGPT, Claude, Perplexity, Grok, and Muse.

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  2. 2

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  3. 3

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  4. 4

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120th Congress: Who will be Senate Majority Leader?

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Event estimated to resolve on at 10:00AM. These probabilities are based on what other investors recently paid for Yes and No positions.


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Trading event contracts involves significant risk and is not appropriate for all investors. Before investing, please read our Event Contracts Risk Disclosure and carefully consider your financial situation, investment objectives, and risk tolerance. Live data is for informational purposes only and may be delayed or incorrect.


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