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Which bills will become law in 2026?

Export-control chip security35¢35%
Protect College Sports Act22¢22%
Defense-contractor stock-buyback restrictions20¢20%
$1,284,875.22 Vol.

Event estimated to resolve on . These probabilities are based on what other investors recently paid for Yes and No positions.

About

If legislation that requires location-verification security mechanisms on certain advanced chips before export has become law after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Clarification: 'FISA Section 702 reauthorization (2 years)' (KXBILLS-FISA) resolves to Yes only if FISA Section 702 is reauthorized for exactly two years, as in the provided example (Public Law 118-49). A reauthorization for any other duration would not qualify. Clarification: To be clear, legislation that appropriates funds for security adjustments and upgrades relating to the East Wing Modernization Project, a project that includes the construction of a presidential ballroom, constitutes legislation that "authorizes funding for construction of a presidential ballroom," even if the funds are restricted to security elements of that construction.

  • Full contract termsView
  • SourceLibrary of Congress, White House
  • Est. resolution date
  • Total event volume$1,284,875.22
  • Timeline

    The market will close and expire early if the event occurs. Otherwise, it closes by .

    1. Event open
    2. Event closed
    3. Projected payout
  • Insider trading is prohibited

    The following are prohibited from trading this contract:

    • Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
    • Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.

Trade Yes contracts

  • FISA Section 702 reauthorization (2 years)
    Volume$313,307.34
    Price16¢
    +7.14% today
  • Protect College Sports Act
    Volume$110,681.04
    Price20¢
    -31.25% today
  • Trump Airport
    Volume$70,633.08
    Price4.7¢
    +53.33% today
  • Hot Rotisserie Chicken Act
    Volume$63,084.82
    Price17¢
    -18.75% today
  • E15 year-round sales
    Volume$61,804.42
    Price11¢
    +25.00% today
  • SELF DRIVE Act
    Volume$54,679.58
    Price3.8¢
    +20.00% today
  • Trump's Birthday as a federal holiday
    Volume$48,102.08
    Price3.7¢
    +90.00% today
  • $2.50 Coin
    Volume$46,625.50
    Price7.7¢
    -27.14% today
  • SHOWER Act
    Volume$44,329.18
    Price6.9¢
    +80.00% today
  • Credit-card routing competition
    Volume$41,752.80
    Price15¢
    -10.00% today

Trade No contracts

  • FISA Section 702 reauthorization (2 years)
    Volume$313,307.34
    Price87¢
    -1.16% today
  • Protect College Sports Act
    Volume$110,681.04
    Price84¢
    +14.71% today
  • Trump Airport
    Volume$70,633.08
    Price97.9¢
    -1.65% today
  • Hot Rotisserie Chicken Act
    Volume$63,084.82
    Price88¢
    +3.57% today
  • E15 year-round sales
    Volume$61,804.42
    Price94¢
    -2.17% today
  • SELF DRIVE Act
    Volume$54,679.58
    Price98.8¢
    +9,780.00% today
  • Trump's Birthday as a federal holiday
    Volume$48,102.08
    Price99.8¢
    -1.84% today
  • $2.50 Coin
    Volume$46,625.50
    Price93.9¢
    +2.04% today
  • SHOWER Act
    Volume$44,329.18
    Price98.7¢
    -3.33% today
  • Credit-card routing competition
    Volume$41,752.80
    Price93.9¢
    +1.11% today

FAQ

Frequently asked questions

Public shows live market-implied probabilities, contract prices, and trading volume for Which bills will become law in 2026?. The leading outcome is Export-control chip security, with an estimated probability of 35% and a Yes contract price of $0.34. Odds can change as traders buy and sell event contracts.

On Public, you can buy and sell event contracts for Which bills will become law in 2026? by choosing from the available outcomes. Compare live odds, probabilities, prices, and trading volume before making a trade. You can manage prediction markets alongside stocks, options, bonds, and crypto on Public.

Each event contract represents an outcome for Which bills will become law in 2026?. On Public, you can take a Yes or No position based on whether you think that outcome will occur. Contract prices reflect market-implied probabilities and can change as the market trades.

The estimated resolution date for Which bills will become law in 2026? is Jan 1, 2027. The prediction market will resolve according to its contract terms using Library of Congress, White House as the designated source. See the full contract terms on Public for the specific resolution criteria.

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Live odds on Which bills will become law in 2026?

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Which bills will become law in 2026?

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Event estimated to resolve on at 10:00AM. These probabilities are based on what other investors recently paid for Yes and No positions.


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