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What will be the 51st state in Trump's term?

Cuba5¢5%
Canada2.3¢2%
Greenland2¢2%
$3,767,287 Vol.

Event estimated to resolve on . These probabilities are based on what other investors recently paid for Yes and No positions.

About

If the 51st state is any part of Cuba before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.

  • Full contract termsView
  • SourceLibrary of Congress
  • Est. resolution date
  • Total event volume$3,767,287.00
  • Timeline

    The market will close and expire early if the event occurs. Otherwise, it closes by .

    1. Event open
    2. Event closed
    3. Projected payout
  • Insider trading is prohibited

    The following are prohibited from trading this contract:

    • Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
    • Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.

Trade Yes contracts

  • Greenland
    Volume$891,523.56
    Price1.9¢
    0.00% today
  • Venezuela
    Volume$842,562.28
    Price2.2¢
    -5.00% today
  • Cuba
    Volume$535,014.98
    Price5¢
    +25.00% today
  • Canada
    Volume$465,803.50
    Price2.4¢
    +15.00% today
  • Puerto Rico
    Volume$423,372.26
    Price1.6¢
    -15.00% today
  • District of Columbia
    Volume$249,243.08
    Price0.7¢
    — today
  • Colombia
    Volume$192,382.44
    Price0.5¢
    — today
  • Guam
    Volume$167,384.90
    Price0.9¢
    -10.00% today

Trade No contracts

  • Greenland
    Volume$891,523.56
    Price98.7¢
    0.00% today
  • Venezuela
    Volume$842,562.28
    Price98.1¢
    +0.10% today
  • Cuba
    Volume$535,014.98
    Price96¢
    -1.04% today
  • Canada
    Volume$465,803.50
    Price98.6¢
    -0.31% today
  • Puerto Rico
    Volume$423,372.26
    Price98.5¢
    +0.31% today
  • District of Columbia
    Volume$249,243.08
    Price99.7¢
    -0.70% today
  • Colombia
    Volume$192,382.44
    Price99.6¢
    -0.50% today
  • Guam
    Volume$167,384.90
    Price99.5¢
    +0.10% today

FAQ

Frequently asked questions

Public shows live market-implied probabilities, contract prices, and trading volume for What will be the 51st state in Trump's term?. The leading outcome is Cuba, with an estimated probability of 5% and a Yes contract price of $0.05. Odds can change as traders buy and sell event contracts.

On Public, you can buy and sell event contracts for What will be the 51st state in Trump's term? by choosing from the available outcomes. Compare live odds, probabilities, prices, and trading volume before making a trade. You can manage prediction markets alongside stocks, options, bonds, and crypto on Public.

Each event contract represents an outcome for What will be the 51st state in Trump's term?. On Public, you can take a Yes or No position based on whether you think that outcome will occur. Contract prices reflect market-implied probabilities and can change as the market trades.

The estimated resolution date for What will be the 51st state in Trump's term? is Jan 20, 2029. The prediction market will resolve according to its contract terms using Library of Congress as the designated source. See the full contract terms on Public for the specific resolution criteria.

Yes. Public's AI Agents let you automate prediction market strategies using rules you define in plain English. Create an Agent to monitor the odds for What will be the 51st state in Trump's term? and take supported actions when your conditions are met. Since prediction markets trade 24/7, your Agent can monitor opportunities around the clock. You can also connect Public to your preferred AI model through MCP, including ChatGPT, Claude, Perplexity, Grok, and Muse.

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What will be the 51st state in Trump's term?

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Event estimated to resolve on at 10:00AM. These probabilities are based on what other investors recently paid for Yes and No positions.


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