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Economics

US Treasury cash balance on October 23, 2026

Above $875 billion98¢98%
Above $850 billion96¢96%
Above $900 billion96¢96%
$149,880.16 Vol.

Event estimated to resolve on . These probabilities are based on what other investors recently paid for Yes and No positions.

About

If the Treasury General Account closing balance for October 23, 2026 is above $875 billion, then the market resolves to Yes. This market uses the “Treasury General Account (TGA) Closing Balance” in the “Today” column of Table I — Operating Cash Balance in the Daily Treasury Statement for October 23, 2026. The published amount, reported in millions of U.S. dollars, is divided by 1,000 to express the balance in billions of U.S. dollars. No additional rounding is applied. The first published value is used. Later corrections and revisions are ignored. The observation date is the date covered by the statement, regardless of when the statement is published. A publication delay does not change the observation date.

  • Full contract termsView
  • SourceU.S. Department of the Treasury
  • Est. resolution date
  • Total event volume$149,880.16
  • Timeline

    The market will close and expire early if the event occurs. Otherwise, it closes by .

    1. Event open
    2. Event closed
    3. Projected payout
  • Insider trading is prohibited

    The following are prohibited from trading this contract:

    • Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
    • Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.

Trade Yes contracts

  • Above $1,100 billion
    Volume$54,665.60
    Price21¢
    -37.50% today
  • Above $1,075 billion
    Volume$32,744.80
    Price22¢
    +120.00% today
  • Above $1,050 billion
    Volume$30,726.68
    Price22¢
    +15.79% today
  • Above $1,025 billion
    Volume$25,337.60
    Price22¢
    -37.50% today
  • Above $875 billion
    Volume$1,610.38
    Price100¢
    +10.11% today
  • Above $975 billion
    Volume$1,277.50
    Price73¢
    +52.08% today
  • Above $850 billion
    Volume$1,220.36
    Price100¢
    +6.67% today
  • Above $950 billion
    Volume$703.20
    Price79¢
    +22.06% today
  • Above $900 billion
    Volume$682.00
    Price100¢
    +9.09% today
  • Above $1,000 billion
    Volume$618.00
    Price44¢
    -43.18% today

Trade No contracts

  • Above $1,100 billion
    Volume$54,665.60
    Price97¢
    +3.26% today
  • Above $1,075 billion
    Volume$32,744.80
    Price95¢
    -13.33% today
  • Above $1,050 billion
    Volume$30,726.68
    Price83¢
    -3.70% today
  • Above $1,025 billion
    Volume$25,337.60
    Price79¢
    +17.65% today
  • Above $875 billion
    Volume$1,610.38
    Price87¢
    -81.82% today
  • Above $975 billion
    Volume$1,277.50
    Price36¢
    -48.08% today
  • Above $850 billion
    Volume$1,220.36
    Price70¢
    -60.00% today
  • Above $950 billion
    Volume$703.20
    Price50¢
    -46.88% today
  • Above $900 billion
    Volume$682.00
    Price75¢
    -66.67% today
  • Above $1,000 billion
    Volume$618.00
    Price70¢
    +33.93% today

FAQ

Frequently asked questions

Public shows live market-implied probabilities, contract prices, and trading volume for US Treasury cash balance on October 23, 2026. The leading outcome is Above $875 billion, with an estimated probability of 98% and a Yes contract price of $1.00. Odds can change as traders buy and sell event contracts.

On Public, you can buy and sell event contracts for US Treasury cash balance on October 23, 2026 by choosing from the available outcomes. Compare live odds, probabilities, prices, and trading volume before making a trade. You can manage prediction markets alongside stocks, options, bonds, and crypto on Public.

Each event contract represents an outcome for US Treasury cash balance on October 23, 2026. On Public, you can take a Yes or No position based on whether you think that outcome will occur. Contract prices reflect market-implied probabilities and can change as the market trades.

The estimated resolution date for US Treasury cash balance on October 23, 2026 is Oct 26, 2026. The prediction market will resolve according to its contract terms using U.S. Department of the Treasury as the designated source. See the full contract terms on Public for the specific resolution criteria.

Yes. Public's AI Agents let you automate prediction market strategies using rules you define in plain English. Create an Agent to monitor the odds for US Treasury cash balance on October 23, 2026 and take supported actions when your conditions are met. Since prediction markets trade 24/7, your Agent can monitor opportunities around the clock. You can also connect Public to your preferred AI model through MCP, including ChatGPT, Claude, Perplexity, Grok, and Muse.

How to trade the odds on US Treasury cash balance on October 23, 2026

  1. 1

    Create a Public account

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  2. 2

    Fund your account

    Securely link your bank account to deposit funds. Depending on eligibility, you may unlock up to $250,000 in instant buying power right away.

  3. 3

    Buy and sell event contracts

    Explore Prediction Markets from the Invest menu or search Public for US Treasury cash balance on October 23, 2026. Review the latest odds and probabilities, then buy or sell event contracts based on your view.

  4. 4

    Manage your portfolio

    Track your prediction market positions alongside stocks, options, bonds, and crypto. Plus, create AI Agents for investing and connect your portfolio through MCP to AI models like ChatGPT, Claude, Perplexity, Grok, and Muse.

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Live odds on US Treasury cash balance on October 23, 2026

Track live odds and trade event contracts inside a multi-asset portfolio on Public. Plus, create AI Agents for your prediction market strategies.

US Treasury cash balance on October 23, 2026

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Prediction Markets Glossary

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Event estimated to resolve on at 10:00AM. These probabilities are based on what other investors recently paid for Yes and No positions.


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Trading event contracts involves significant risk and is not appropriate for all investors. Before investing, please read our Event Contracts Risk Disclosure and carefully consider your financial situation, investment objectives, and risk tolerance. Live data is for informational purposes only and may be delayed or incorrect.


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