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Economics

M2 money supply growth at year-end 2026

6.5% or Above27¢27%
5.5% to 5.9%25¢25%
Below 5.0%20¢20%
$2,392.84 Vol.

Event estimated to resolve on . These probabilities are based on what other investors recently paid for Yes and No positions.

About

If the M2 money-supply growth for December 2026 is at least 6.5%, then the market resolves to Yes. For purposes of this market, “M2 money-supply growth” means the year-over-year percent change in the seasonally adjusted M2 money stock for December 2026, calculated using FRED series M2SL. The year-over-year percent change will be calculated as follows: December 2026 M2SL divided by December 2025 M2SL, minus one, expressed as a percentage and rounded to one decimal place. This market will use the first value published by FRED for December 2026. Revisions released after the first publication of the December 2026 value will not be considered.

  • Full contract termsView
  • SourceBureau of Labor Statistics- Consumer Price Index, Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation
  • Est. resolution date
  • Total event volume$2,392.84
  • Timeline

    The market will close and expire early if the event occurs. Otherwise, it closes by .

    1. Event open
    2. Event closed
    3. Projected payout
  • Insider trading is prohibited

    The following are prohibited from trading this contract:

    • Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
    • Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.

Trade Yes contracts

  • 6.5% or Above
    Volume$1,150.94
    Price27¢
    +12.50% today
  • 5.0% to 5.4%
    Volume$560.00
    Price22¢
    -27.78% today
  • 5.5% to 5.9%
    Volume$357.88
    Price25¢
    +19.05% today
  • Below 5.0%
    Volume$324.02
    Price22¢
    +11.11% today
  • 6.0% to 6.4%
    Volume$0.00
    Price25¢
    -100.00% today

Trade No contracts

  • 6.5% or Above
    Volume$1,150.94
    Price80¢
    -3.95% today
  • 5.0% to 5.4%
    Volume$560.00
    Price87¢
    +6.10% today
  • 5.5% to 5.9%
    Volume$357.88
    Price83¢
    -5.06% today
  • Below 5.0%
    Volume$324.02
    Price86¢
    -2.44% today
  • 6.0% to 6.4%
    Volume$0.00
    Price84¢
    +25.00% today

FAQ

Frequently asked questions

Public shows live market-implied probabilities, contract prices, and trading volume for M2 money supply growth at year-end 2026. The leading outcome is 6.5% or Above, with an estimated probability of 27% and a Yes contract price of $0.27. Odds can change as traders buy and sell event contracts.

On Public, you can buy and sell event contracts for M2 money supply growth at year-end 2026 by choosing from the available outcomes. Compare live odds, probabilities, prices, and trading volume before making a trade. You can manage prediction markets alongside stocks, options, bonds, and crypto on Public.

Each event contract represents an outcome for M2 money supply growth at year-end 2026. On Public, you can take a Yes or No position based on whether you think that outcome will occur. Contract prices reflect market-implied probabilities and can change as the market trades.

The estimated resolution date for M2 money supply growth at year-end 2026 is Jan 26, 2027. The prediction market will resolve according to its contract terms using Bureau of Labor Statistics- Consumer Price Index, Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation as the designated source. See the full contract terms on Public for the specific resolution criteria.

Yes. Public's AI Agents let you automate prediction market strategies using rules you define in plain English. Create an Agent to monitor the odds for M2 money supply growth at year-end 2026 and take supported actions when your conditions are met. Since prediction markets trade 24/7, your Agent can monitor opportunities around the clock. You can also connect Public to your preferred AI model through MCP, including ChatGPT, Claude, Perplexity, Grok, and Muse.

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Live odds on M2 money supply growth at year-end 2026

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M2 money supply growth at year-end 2026

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Event estimated to resolve on at 10:00AM. These probabilities are based on what other investors recently paid for Yes and No positions.


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