How many times will Trump visit Mar-a-Lago in Nov 2026?
These probabilities are based on what other investors recently paid for Yes and No positions.
About
If Donald Trump makes exactly 5 or more trips to Mar-a-Lago in Nov 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. A single visit begins when Donald Trump arrives in Mar-a-Lago and ends when Donald Trump has left Mar-a-Lago. A visit need not end to be included — i.e., if Nov 2026 ends with Donald Trump still there, that visit counts for the purposes of the count. If Donald Trump is in Mar-a-Lago at the beginning of Nov 2026, that will count as a visit. Multiple separate visits during Nov 2026 count individually.
- Full contract termsView
- SourceABC, Axios, BBC, Bloomberg News, CBS, CNN, Donald Trump, Fox News, MSNBC, NBC, Politico, Reuters, Semafor, The Guardian, The Information, The Wall Street Journal, The Washington Post, White House pool reports, official government sources of Florida, official schedules of the President, official social media accounts of Donald Trump or his official representatives, releases and public statements of White House, the Associated Press, the New York Times, the White House
- Est. resolution date—
- Total event volume$558,834.54
- Timeline
- Insider trading is prohibited
Trade Yes contracts
| Contract | Volume | Price | 1D change | Est. probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 or more | $339.18K | 89¢ | +2.30% | |
| 4 | $106.39K | 12¢ | 0.00% | |
| 3Resolved | ||||
| 2Resolved | ||||
| 1Resolved | ||||
| 0Resolved |
Trade No contracts
| Contract | Volume | Price | 1D change | Est. probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 or more | $339.18K | 12¢ | -15.38% | |
| 4 | $106.39K | 89¢ | 0.00% | |
| 3Resolved | ||||
| 2Resolved | ||||
| 1Resolved | ||||
| 0Resolved |
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How many times will Trump visit Mar-a-Lago in Nov 2026?
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Learn moreEvent estimated to resolve on the estimated date at 10:00AM. These probabilities are based on what other investors recently paid for Yes and No positions.
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