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How many people will Neuralink have implanted in 2026?

At least 2594¢94%
At least 3065¢65%
At least 4036¢36%
$31,049.78 Vol.

Event estimated to resolve on . These probabilities are based on what other investors recently paid for Yes and No positions.

About

If at least 25 persons have received Neuralink brain-computer interface implants before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Only unique human individuals count toward the total, regardless of how many devices each person receives. If one person receives multiple implants or device replacements, they count as one person. Cumulative totals include all persons who have ever received a Neuralink implant, including those who may have had devices removed, experienced device failure, or are deceased. Only successful implantations count; attempted implantations that are aborted during surgery (and thus not actually implanted) do not count. The implantations need not occur after Issuance to count toward 25. For the purposes of this contract, Neuralink brain-computer interface implants include the following: The N1 chip system and any successor devices developed by Neuralink Devices surgically implanted in the brain or nervous system designed to record neural activity and/or stimulate neural tissue Both fully functional and partially functional implanted devices Devices implanted for medical treatment, research, or enhancement purposes The following do NOT count as Neuralink implants: External devices, headsets, or non-implanted brain-computer interfaces Devices developed by other companies, even if similar in function Neuralink devices implanted in animals Theoretical, planned, or projected implant numbers without confirmation of actual procedures If Neuralink merges with a different company or changes its name, the Contract will continue to track the successor entity.

  • Full contract termsView
  • SourceBarrow Neurological Institute, Elon Musk, Neuralink
  • Est. resolution date
  • Total event volume$31,049.78
  • Timeline

    The market will close and expire early if the event occurs. Otherwise, it closes by .

    1. Event open
    2. Event closed
    3. Projected payout
  • Insider trading is prohibited

    The following are prohibited from trading this contract:

    • Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
    • Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.

Trade Yes contracts

  • At least 40
    Volume$8,558.52
    Price35¢
    +5.88% today
  • At least 30
    Volume$6,700.50
    Price73¢
    -7.14% today
  • At least 25
    Volume$6,547.42
    Price91¢
    +4.44% today
  • At least 50
    Volume$3,371.70
    Price28¢
    -20.83% today
  • At least 75
    Volume$3,314.48
    Price14¢
    +40.00% today
  • At least 100
    Volume$2,557.16
    Price7¢
    +225.00% today

Trade No contracts

  • At least 40
    Volume$8,558.52
    Price70¢
    -3.03% today
  • At least 30
    Volume$6,700.50
    Price34¢
    +16.67% today
  • At least 25
    Volume$6,547.42
    Price11¢
    -40.00% today
  • At least 50
    Volume$3,371.70
    Price81¢
    +6.58% today
  • At least 75
    Volume$3,314.48
    Price93¢
    -4.44% today
  • At least 100
    Volume$2,557.16
    Price98¢
    -9.38% today

FAQ

Frequently asked questions

Public shows live market-implied probabilities, contract prices, and trading volume for How many people will Neuralink have implanted in 2026?. The leading outcome is At least 25, with an estimated probability of 94% and a Yes contract price of $0.91. Odds can change as traders buy and sell event contracts.

On Public, you can buy and sell event contracts for How many people will Neuralink have implanted in 2026? by choosing from the available outcomes. Compare live odds, probabilities, prices, and trading volume before making a trade. You can manage prediction markets alongside stocks, options, bonds, and crypto on Public.

Each event contract represents an outcome for How many people will Neuralink have implanted in 2026?. On Public, you can take a Yes or No position based on whether you think that outcome will occur. Contract prices reflect market-implied probabilities and can change as the market trades.

The estimated resolution date for How many people will Neuralink have implanted in 2026? is Jan 1, 2027. The prediction market will resolve according to its contract terms using Barrow Neurological Institute, Elon Musk, Neuralink as the designated source. See the full contract terms on Public for the specific resolution criteria.

Yes. Public's AI Agents let you automate prediction market strategies using rules you define in plain English. Create an Agent to monitor the odds for How many people will Neuralink have implanted in 2026? and take supported actions when your conditions are met. Since prediction markets trade 24/7, your Agent can monitor opportunities around the clock. You can also connect Public to your preferred AI model through MCP, including ChatGPT, Claude, Perplexity, Grok, and Muse.

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How many people will Neuralink have implanted in 2026?

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Event estimated to resolve on at 10:00AM. These probabilities are based on what other investors recently paid for Yes and No positions.


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