How many people will Neuralink have implanted in 2026?
Event estimated to resolve on . These probabilities are based on what other investors recently paid for Yes and No positions.
About
If at least 25 persons have received Neuralink brain-computer interface implants before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Only unique human individuals count toward the total, regardless of how many devices each person receives. If one person receives multiple implants or device replacements, they count as one person. Cumulative totals include all persons who have ever received a Neuralink implant, including those who may have had devices removed, experienced device failure, or are deceased. Only successful implantations count; attempted implantations that are aborted during surgery (and thus not actually implanted) do not count. The implantations need not occur after Issuance to count toward 25. For the purposes of this contract, Neuralink brain-computer interface implants include the following: The N1 chip system and any successor devices developed by Neuralink Devices surgically implanted in the brain or nervous system designed to record neural activity and/or stimulate neural tissue Both fully functional and partially functional implanted devices Devices implanted for medical treatment, research, or enhancement purposes The following do NOT count as Neuralink implants: External devices, headsets, or non-implanted brain-computer interfaces Devices developed by other companies, even if similar in function Neuralink devices implanted in animals Theoretical, planned, or projected implant numbers without confirmation of actual procedures If Neuralink merges with a different company or changes its name, the Contract will continue to track the successor entity.
- Full contract termsView
- SourceBarrow Neurological Institute, Elon Musk, Neuralink
- Est. resolution date
- Total event volume$31,049.78
- Timeline
- Insider trading is prohibited
Trade Yes contracts
- At least 40Volume$8,558.52Price35¢+5.88% today
- At least 30Volume$6,700.50Price73¢-7.14% today
- At least 25Volume$6,547.42Price91¢+4.44% today
- At least 50Volume$3,371.70Price28¢-20.83% today
- At least 75Volume$3,314.48Price14¢+40.00% today
- At least 100Volume$2,557.16Price7¢+225.00% today
Trade No contracts
- At least 40Volume$8,558.52Price70¢-3.03% today
- At least 30Volume$6,700.50Price34¢+16.67% today
- At least 25Volume$6,547.42Price11¢-40.00% today
- At least 50Volume$3,371.70Price81¢+6.58% today
- At least 75Volume$3,314.48Price94¢-4.44% today
- At least 100Volume$2,557.16Price98¢-9.38% today
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How many people will Neuralink have implanted in 2026?
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Learn moreEvent estimated to resolve on at 10:00AM. These probabilities are based on what other investors recently paid for Yes and No positions.
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