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Economics

Fed funds rate at end of 2031

Above 1.00%85¢85%
Above 1.25%77¢77%
Above 2.50%71¢71%
$9,129.16 Vol.

Event estimated to resolve on . These probabilities are based on what other investors recently paid for Yes and No positions.

About

If the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2031, as published on the Federal Reserve’s official website, is above 1.00%, then the market resolves to Yes. If the Federal Reserve specifies a single target rate rather than a target range, that target rate will be used.

  • Full contract termsView
  • SourceBureau of Labor Statistics- Consumer Price Index, Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation
  • Est. resolution date
  • Total event volume$9,129.16
  • Timeline

    The market will close and expire early if the event occurs. Otherwise, it closes by .

    1. Event open
    2. Event closed
    3. Projected payout
  • Insider trading is prohibited

    The following are prohibited from trading this contract:

    • Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
    • Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.

Trade Yes contracts

  • Above 5.00%
    Volume$1,980.00
    Price60¢
    -19.44% today
  • Above 2.25%
    Volume$728.02
    Price86¢
    +9.68% today
  • Above 1.00%
    Volume$724.00
    Price95¢
    +8,400.00% today
  • Above 6.00%
    Volume$666.02
    Price8¢
    +125.00% today
  • Above 4.00%
    Volume$644.04
    Price52¢
    +44.44% today
  • Above 5.50%
    Volume$510.04
    Price49¢
    0.00% today
  • Above 1.25%
    Volume$504.00
    Price94¢
    -6.10% today
  • Above 2.50%
    Volume$466.02
    Price80¢
    +4.41% today
  • Above 3.75%
    Volume$444.02
    Price50¢
    +33.33% today
  • Above 1.75%
    Volume$388.00
    Price90¢
    +3.03% today

Trade No contracts

  • Above 5.00%
    Volume$1,980.00
    Price89¢
    +10.94% today
  • Above 2.25%
    Volume$728.02
    Price63¢
    -15.79% today
  • Above 1.00%
    Volume$724.00
    Price20¢
    +1,400.00% today
  • Above 6.00%
    Volume$666.02
    Price100¢
    -5.21% today
  • Above 4.00%
    Volume$644.04
    Price80¢
    -25.00% today
  • Above 5.50%
    Volume$510.04
    Price100¢
    -11.84% today
  • Above 1.25%
    Volume$504.00
    Price29¢
    +27.78% today
  • Above 2.50%
    Volume$466.02
    Price45¢
    -9.38% today
  • Above 3.75%
    Volume$444.02
    Price79¢
    -18.75% today
  • Above 1.75%
    Volume$388.00
    Price58¢
    -5.88% today

FAQ

Frequently asked questions

Public shows live market-implied probabilities, contract prices, and trading volume for Fed funds rate at end of 2031. The leading outcome is Above 1.00%, with an estimated probability of 85% and a Yes contract price of $0.95. Odds can change as traders buy and sell event contracts.

On Public, you can buy and sell event contracts for Fed funds rate at end of 2031 by choosing from the available outcomes. Compare live odds, probabilities, prices, and trading volume before making a trade. You can manage prediction markets alongside stocks, options, bonds, and crypto on Public.

Each event contract represents an outcome for Fed funds rate at end of 2031. On Public, you can take a Yes or No position based on whether you think that outcome will occur. Contract prices reflect market-implied probabilities and can change as the market trades.

The estimated resolution date for Fed funds rate at end of 2031 is Jan 1, 2032. The prediction market will resolve according to its contract terms using Bureau of Labor Statistics- Consumer Price Index, Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation as the designated source. See the full contract terms on Public for the specific resolution criteria.

Yes. Public's AI Agents let you automate prediction market strategies using rules you define in plain English. Create an Agent to monitor the odds for Fed funds rate at end of 2031 and take supported actions when your conditions are met. Since prediction markets trade 24/7, your Agent can monitor opportunities around the clock. You can also connect Public to your preferred AI model through MCP, including ChatGPT, Claude, Perplexity, Grok, and Muse.

How to trade the odds on Fed funds rate at end of 2031

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Live odds on Fed funds rate at end of 2031

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Fed funds rate at end of 2031

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Event estimated to resolve on at 10:00AM. These probabilities are based on what other investors recently paid for Yes and No positions.


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